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Luis Suarez 2021 Prizm Gold Vinyl 1of1 BGS 9

Asset value
29.800,00 €
Earning potential
26.2%
Splints left
596/596
Investment horizon in years
3-5
Return-to-Risk Assessment
6/10
Performance since release
+0.0%

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Main reasons to invest

  • Return Potential: An investment of €500 could reach an estimated value of €1,602 in 5 years.

  • Cost-to-Return Ratio: With just 3.4% annual total costs, your net profit could be 26.2% per year.

  • Unique 1/1: This first-ever Luis Suárez Prizm Gold Vinyl 1/1 and his first Prizm base 1/1 in club uniform, combines historic rarity, strong collector demand, and the legacy of one of football’s greatest strikers, with a net return of 26.2% p.a.

Description

Investment Case
Investment Thesis
 
Metric Value
Investment Horizon 3–5 Years (Target exit: 2029–2031)
Expected CAGR (Balanced) 26.2% p.a. after fees
Optimistic CAGR 36.0% p.a. after fees
Entry Basis -10.0% discount to market prior to fees
Sharpe Ratio 0.79
Value at Risk (VaR) 90.5% probability of exceeding initial investment after 5 years
Standard Deviation 35.0%
Number of Sales Points 2 main comparables
Risk Rating B+, Moderate-High (high volatility, niche market)
  • 3–5 Year Horizon: Planned exit between 2029 and 2031 to capture continued growth in premium sports trading cards and increasing collector demand for unique Suarez memorabilia.
  • 26.2% Net ROI p.a. (Balanced): Based on a probability-weighted scenario using comparable sales data and observed performance of elite soccer player 1/1 cards in the Prizm market.
  • 36.0% Net ROI p.a. (Ambitious): Reflects a stronger upside scenario supported by the card's double "first ever" attributes, Suarez's legendary status, and the extreme desirability of Gold Vinyl 1/1 colorway in soccer.
  • ~10.0% Discount to Market: Entry pricing was verified below current market value prior to fees, supporting an attractive acquisition basis.
  • Sharpe Ratio of 0.79: Indicates a compelling risk-adjusted return profile that exceeds benchmarks like the Swiss Market Index (SMI), demonstrating exceptional compensation for volatility assumed.
  • VaR 90.5%: Modelled probability that the asset value exceeds the initial investment after five years, based on historical data and market trends for similar sport athletes.
  • Standard Deviation (35.0%): Reflects higher volatility typical of unique sports trading cards with limited transaction frequency, calculated using comparable sport athletes data from cardalder.com.
  • 2 Main Comparables: The investment case is supported by relevant market data, underlining both the card's rarity and strong collector appeal for this unique configuration.
Category
Why Invest in This Category?
 
High-end sports trading cards have evolved into a globally recognized alternative asset class supported by professional grading, transparent auctions, and growing institutional demand, offering strong long-term appreciation and diversification benefits.
Asset Specifics
Why Invest in This Asset?
 

The Luis Suarez 2021 Prizm Gold Vinyl 1of1 BGS 9 represents a rare convergence of scarcity, athlete legacy, and market positioning within the most dominant brand in modern soccer card collecting. Prizm commands the highest market capitalization in the category, and this card carries a double "first ever" distinction: it is Suarez's earliest Prizm Gold Vinyl 1/1 and his first Prizm base 1/1 in club uniform, a combination that significantly enhances collector appeal and future liquidity.

Key Highlight
Acquired at a 9.97% discount to market prior to fees, this true 1/1 offers exposure to one of Uruguay's greatest athletes, whose 900+ goal contributions, two European Golden Shoes, and championship pedigree across three elite leagues position him among the sport's all-time elite strikers.

Suarez's career achievements are exceptional: Uruguay's all-time leading scorer, a key architect of Barcelona's MSN era alongside Messi and Neymar, and a player who won league titles in his debut seasons at Liverpool, Barcelona, and Atlético Madrid. His recent reunion with Messi at Inter Miami has expanded his visibility among Messi collectors, broadening the asset's buyer base.

Gold Vinyl 1/1 cards are among the most desirable colorway configurations in soccer, often outperforming other 1/1 variants. Comparable Suarez releases from later years have generated sales between €10,000 and €30,000, despite lacking the "first ever" attributes and true uniqueness of this offering.

For investors, this asset combines heritage athlete status, brand dominance, verified scarcity, and disciplined entry pricing within a category demonstrating strong historical growth and collector demand.

Summary
Conclusion
 
This Luis Suarez 2021 Prizm Gold Vinyl 1of1 BGS 9 combines elite athletic legacy, true scarcity, and Panini's flagship brand strength. As his first Prizm Gold Vinyl and club uniform base 1of1, it offers non-repeatable provenance and crossover appeal to Messi collectors. Its rarity and historical significance position it as a compelling long-term collectible.

Expert

K3Y Asset

K3Y Asset is a hobby platform to tell stories in the hobby of card collecting in proper contexts and often in parallel to sports history and moments, while unlocking desirable attributes from key sports cards to elevate them into long term desirable assets.

Additional details

Asset ID
cfe35516-7c7a-4f0f-b146-35185bf7c653
Publisher
Panini America
Material
Cardboard and Prizm surface
Publication year
2021
Condition
Graded at BGS 9 by Beckett Grading Services
Card name
Luis Suarez 2021 Prizm Gold Vinyl 1of1 BGS 9
Player and team
Luis Suarez, Atlético de Madrid
Edition number (i.e. 5 of 50)
1 of 1

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