Jordan 1 Off-White Euro White signed by Virgil Abloh

Investment Thesis 📝
 

Metric	Value
Investment Horizon	2025–2030 (3–5 Years)
Expected CAGR (Balanced)	24.5% p.a. after fees
Optimistic CAGR	37.8% p.a. after fees
Entry Position	≈4% below fair value (ex‑fees); near‑fair entry
Sharpe Ratio	0.67 (vs. SMI: 0.61)
Value at Risk (VaR)	75% chance to exceed €29,200 (5 yrs)
Standard Deviation	37.1%
Risk Rating	B (7.6/10 – Moderate Risk)

 

• 3–5 Year Horizon: Targets the medium‑term window where signed Virgil Abloh pieces have shown sustained demand and liquidity.
• 24.5% CAGR (Balanced): Based on a 60% probability of continuing strong post‑launch growth evidenced by auction data.
• 37.8% CAGR (Optimistic): Upside reflects ongoing scarcity of authentic Abloh‑signed pairs and top‑tier collector demand.
• Validated Entry: Fair value derived from a ~7× premium to unsigned versions; current price ~4% below fair value ex‑fees.
• Sharpe 0.67: Attractive risk‑adjusted profile versus the SMI’s five‑year 0.61 benchmark.
• VaR Protection: Model indicates a three‑in‑four chance of value > €29,200 after 5 years.
• Volatility (37.1%): Consistent with high‑end sneaker collectibles; historical max drawdown ~‑35% informs sizing and horizon.
• Risk Rating “B”: Strong track record and limited open offerings support a balanced risk/return case for a blue‑chip streetwear icon.

Exit Options at Maturity 🚪

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We will manage the exit strategy on behalf of our investors, ensuring the best possible outcome based on market conditions at the time. Depending on the value of the model and the prevailing market situation, we can either sell the sneakers privately to a collector or take it to auction. Both options are carefully considered, and we will choose the one that maximizes the return for our investors.

Why Invest in This Category? 👟

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Sneakers have evolved from sportswear into high-value, collectible assets, gaining popularity as blue-chip investments. Their appeal is driven by cultural shifts, celebrity endorsements, and smart marketing. Today, sneakers sit at the intersection of fashion, art, and collectibles, fueling a booming secondary market. The global sneaker market is projected to reach USD 138,130 million by 2028, with a 7.2% annual growth rate. Historically, sneakers have shown impressive returns, with examples like the Jordan 1 Retro High Off-White Chicago delivering a 116% annualized performance over five years. This strong market growth and cultural relevance make sneakers a compelling investment opportunity.

Why Invest in This Asset? 💎

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The Air Jordan 1 Off-White “Euro White” stands as a pinnacle of modern sneaker culture, embodying the visionary design language of Virgil Abloh and his groundbreaking collaboration with Nike. Released in 2018 as part of Abloh’s era-defining “The Ten” collection, this reinterpretation of Michael Jordan’s first signature shoe combines deconstructed aesthetics with Off-White’s signature industrial typography, creating a piece that is instantly recognisable to collectors and fashion enthusiasts worldwide.

What sets this pair apart from all others is the personal touch—Virgil Abloh’s autograph in black marker, inscribed “Virgil” and dated c. 2018, authenticated by AutographCOA. This rare certification elevates the sneaker beyond wearable art into the realm of investment-grade memorabilia, especially in the wake of Abloh’s untimely passing in 2021. Signed examples are scarce, and in unworn, deadstock condition without yellowing, almost impossible to find.

Crafted from premium leather and presented in size EU 47, the pair preserves every detail of Abloh’s design intent, from the exposed stitching to the bold zip-tie, encapsulating the merger of sports heritage and luxury streetwear. The Euro White colourway, released exclusively in select regions, is already one of the most desirable from the collaboration, and its pristine preservation ensures long-term appeal.

Virgil Abloh’s influence on contemporary culture extended far beyond fashion, bridging art, music, and design. Owning this sneaker is not simply acquiring footwear—it’s holding a certified artefact of cultural history, with a story, provenance, and exclusivity that position it among the most coveted sneaker investments of its era.

Conclusion 🎯

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The signed Air Jordan 1 Off-White “Euro White” combines cultural prestige, extreme scarcity, and verified authenticity, positioning it as a blue-chip collectible in the sneaker world. With strong historical demand for Virgil Abloh memorabilia, this asset offers compelling medium-term appreciation potential and resilient value underpinned by both fashion and streetwear legacy.