Pokémon XY "Furious Fists" (sealed case)
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Main reasons to invest
Return Potential📈: An investment of €500 could reach an estimated value of €2,405 in 6 years.
Cost-to-Return Ratio⚖️: After deducting 2,1 % in annual total costs, your net return could reach 29,9 % per year.
The first wave of Mega Evolution 🔥 : This case marks the start of Pokémon’s Mega Evolution era : the moment collectors still talk about today. With Mega Lucario EX, Mega Heracross EX, and Dragonite EX in the spotlight, Furious Fists connects nostalgia with rarity. Sealed cases in perfect condition are nearly gone, making this one a true time capsule from the XY generation.
Description
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Investment Horizon | 4–6 Years |
| Expected CAGR (Balanced) | 29.9% p.a. after fees |
| Ambitious CAGR | 37.9% p.a. after fees |
| Entry Basis | ~10 % vs. eBay listings |
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.77 (vs. SMI: 0.61) |
| Value at Risk (VaR) | 91.03 % chance to exceed €29,200 after 6 years |
| Standard Deviation | 38.9% |
| Risk Rating | B (7.2/10 - Moderate Risk) |
- 4–6 Year Horizon: Targets collector demand recovery and scarcity-driven appreciation in sealed XY-era Pokémon products, supported by over a decade of maturing nostalgia and limited supply.
- 29.9% CAGR (Balanced): Based on a conservative projection applying 29.9 % of the 81 % CAGR achieved by comparable XY Furious Fists booster boxes between 2022 and 2025.
- 37.9% CAGR (Optimistic): Reflects ongoing growth in sealed XY-era Pokémon assets, supported by increasing collector interest and decreasing supply of intact sealed cases.
- ~10% Entry Discount: Favourable acquisition price versus recent eBay listings and median market values on PriceCharting, confirming a fair but attractive entry point for long-term investors.
- Sharpe Ratio of 0.77: Indicates a balanced risk-adjusted performance, outperforming the SMI’s five-year benchmark of 0.61, and confirming strong return-to-volatility dynamics.
- 91.03% VaR Threshold: Model forecasts a nine-in-ten probability that the investment exceeds the €29,200 entry price after six years, demonstrating strong downside protection for a moderate-risk asset.
- Standard Deviation (38.9%): Reflects moderate volatility, consistent with sealed XY-era Pokémon assets of comparable rarity and collector demand, maintaining balanced exposure.
- Risk Rating "B": Classified as a moderately risky collectible, backed by 30 verified market sales and a solid record of performance across comparable sealed XY-era displays.
Pokémon sealed displays have proven to be among the most stable and transparent collectible investments, supported by verified transaction data and consistent global demand. The XY era, in particular, is gaining renewed collector attention as the franchise’s early modern sets approach classic status, with sealed, untouched cases becoming increasingly rare.
The Pokémon XY – Furious Fists Sealed Booster Case stands at the intersection of scarcity, nostalgia, and measurable data. Released in 2014, it introduced Mega Lucario EX, Mega Heracross EX, and Dragonite EX — all tied to the launch of the Mega Evolution storyline that defined the XY era.
Over time, nearly all sealed cases were opened or split, leaving very few intact examples. This rarity, combined with strong liquidity for individual boxes, creates a solid foundation for long-term appreciation.
The balanced scenario projects a 29.9 % annual net return over a 4–6 year horizon, derived from 29.9 % of the 81 % CAGR achieved by comparable boxes between 2022 and 2025. An optimistic case forecasts 37.9 % CAGR, confirming resilient collector demand and supply scarcity.
Valuation data reinforce this position: the €29 200 entry level sits roughly 10 % below current eBay listings, aligning with verified PriceCharting data. 30 tracked transactions between December 2023 and November 2025 confirm an active and transparent market for XY-era products.
From a risk perspective, the display achieves a Sharpe ratio of 0.77, outperforming the SMI’s 0.61 benchmark, with a 91.03 % probability of exceeding its entry value after six years. A 38.9 % standard deviation places it in a balanced volatility range for sealed collectibles.
The Pokémon XY – Furious Fists Sealed Booster Case brings together cultural nostalgia and data-backed performance. With proven liquidity, a clear entry discount, and balanced risk metrics, it stands as one of the most attractive XY-era displays for collectors seeking both emotional and financial value in a single asset.
Expert
Collectomat GmbH mainly sells trading cards in ultra-modern vending machines. In addition to classics such as Pokémon, the vending machines also offer boosters from One Piece, Disney, Sport, YuGiOh! and other formats.
