Justin Herbert Panini Blockchain Prizm Rookie Shield Auto 1of1 BGS 9.5 + 10 Auto
Main reasons to invest
Return Potential📈: An investment of €500 could reach an estimated value of €1,993 in 5 years.
Cost-to-Return Ratio⚖️: With just 2.1% annual total costs (September releases with no exit fees), your net profit could be 31.9% per year.
One-of-One Rookie Grail 🚀: This Justin Herbert Prizm Rookie Shield Auto 1/1 is the only card uniting the two most powerful hobby attributes — Prizm and Rookie Shield Auto. With Herbert’s record-breaking rise and comparable cards selling for over $1M, its unmatched rarity, pristine grading, and explosive upside make it the ultimate long-term hold for collectors.
Description
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Investment Horizon | 3–5 Years |
| Expected CAGR (Balanced) | 31.9% p.a. after fees |
| Ambitious CAGR | 45.4% p.a. after fees |
| Entry Discount | 22.0% below fair market value (after fees) |
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.88 (vs. SMI: 0.61) |
| Value at Risk (VaR) | 90% chance to exceed €114,400 |
| Standard Deviation | 36.4% |
| Risk Rating | B (7.2/10 – Moderate Risk) |
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3–5 Year Horizon: Positioned to benefit from Herbert’s rising career trajectory and market cycles.
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31.9% CAGR (Balanced): Based on comparable high-end 1/1 sales from Prizm and National Treasures cards.
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45.4% CAGR (Optimistic): Reflects potential breakout growth during playoff or MVP success.
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~22.0% Discount to Fair Value: Entry price is well below market comps, offering immediate upside potential.
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Sharpe Ratio of 0.88: Strong risk-adjusted return vs. SMI (0.61), signaling favorable risk profile.
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90% VaR Threshold: Model forecasts 9-in-10 probability of exceeding €114,400 after 5 years.
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Standard Deviation (36.4%): High-performance asset with expected volatility typical for elite collectibles.
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Risk Rating “B”: Balanced risk-return profile for collectors and investors alike.
We will manage the exit strategy in collaboration with our expert K3Y Asset on behalf of our investors, ensuring the best possible outcome based on market conditions at the time. Depending on the prevailing market situation, the card will be sold to a private collector or offered at an auction. An auction is considered if the price has developed to the point where the minimum bid matches the market value and there is high demand for works by the artist. Both options are carefully considered, and we will choose the one that maximizes the return for our investors.
Sports cards are an asset class that has enjoyed one of the highest multipliers in growth over the last 5 to 15 years among alternative investment vehicles. Sports cards have strong fundamentals in bringing high-valued licenses, age-tested brands, universal passion for sports, and transcendent talents together in innovative concepts.
Justin Herbert has already rewritten the NFL record books — fastest to 2,000 completions, most passing yards through his first five seasons, Rookie of the Year in a stacked class, and the earliest mega-extension among his peers. With a proven coach now guiding him, a 3–0 start to the 2025 season, a division sweep, and an all-time comeback win, Herbert is firmly positioned as an MVP frontrunner and projected Super Bowl contender.
Within this rise, the coffin card offered here is Herbert’s most exclusive collectible. It unites two of the hobby’s most coveted attributes — the Rookie Shield Auto 1/1 (a format that sold for $1.8M with Herbert) and Prizm (Herbert’s 1/1 fetched $1.1M) — into one unique configuration. The Gold Vinyl finish delivers a dazzling superfractor look, amplified by a BGS 9.5 Gold Label and pristine 10 autograph grade. With Tom Brady’s equivalent card selling for $310k privately, the trajectory suggests generational upside for collectors who believe in Herbert’s path to greatness.
What makes this card truly unmatched is its provenance and release. Distributed through a competitive Dutch auction on Panini Blockchain, it carries the cachet of a platform that has surged to prominence — setting monthly records with $6.7M in March, $7M in August, and $10.6M in just the first nine days of September, while earning coverage in Sports Illustrated. The Prizm brand, the largest by market cap, reinforces its standing, while the Rookie Shield Auto 1/1 format is universally regarded as the crown jewel of modern rookie cards. For Herbert, this configuration exists only once — no parallels, no variations, no substitutes. Though labeled 2021 for release purposes, the timing aligns with other flagship launches like 2020 National Treasures NFL, situating it firmly within his rookie-era narrative.
This card isn’t just rare—it’s irreplaceable. Backed by elite grading, market comps, and historical performance, it offers both emotional appeal and financial upside. Whether you're a collector or investor, this 1-of-1 Herbert card represents the pinnacle of scarcity, quality, and athlete potential in the modern card market.
Expert
K3Y Asset is a hobby platform to tell stories in the hobby of card collecting in proper contexts and often in parallel to sports history and moments, while unlocking desirable attributes from key sports cards to elevate them into long term desirable assets.
