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Shohei Ohtani 2024 Topps Dynasty Vertical Auto Patch 1of1 Encase

Asset value
148.030,52 €
Earning potential
31.4%
Splints left
0/2.832
Investment horizon in years
3-5
Return-to-Risk Assessment
8/10
Performance since release
+4.5%

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Main reasons to invest

  • Return potential📈: An investment of €500 could reach an estimated value of €1,958 in 5 years.

  • Cost-to-return ratio ⚖️: After deducting 1.9% in annual total costs (insurance, storage, platform fees), your net return could reach 31.4% per year.

  • The legend in a frame ⚾️: This Ohtani 1-of-1 is more than a card, it is a time capsule of a historic debut. The Samurai-inspired design honours his heritage, while the vertical format and perfect preservation reflect the evolution of modern sports art. For collectors, it represents the crown jewel of Ohtani’s Dodgers era.

Description

Investment Thesis: 📝
 
Metric Value
Investment Horizon 3–5 Years
Expected CAGR (Balanced) 31.4% p.a. after fees
Ambitious CAGR 50.6% p.a. after fees
Entry Basis ~3.7% vs. fair market value (147,000 EUR)
Sharpe Ratio 0.88 (vs. SMI: 0.61)
Value at Risk (VaR) 90.5% chance to exceed €141,600 after 5 years
Standard Deviation 36.2%
Risk Rating B (8.0/10 - Moderate Risk)
 
  • 3 – 5 year horizon: Aligned with Ohtani’s peak and continued market expansion.
  • 31.4% CAGR (balanced): Based on 35% probability of replicating 98.6% CAGR from CardLadder index.
  • 50.6% CAGR (optimistic): Reflects continued market momentum and collector demand.
  • ~3.7% entry discount: Verified against 147,000 EUR fair value from comparables.
  • Sharpe ratio 0.88: Outperforms SMI benchmark (0.61).
  • 90.5% VaR threshold: Model projects exceeding €141,600 after 4 years.
  • Standard deviation 36.2%: Moderate volatility typical of premium collectibles.
  • Risk rating “B”: Balanced investment with cultural and financial upside.
Why Invest in This Category? 
Sports cards are an asset class that has enjoyed one of the highest multipliers in growth over the last 5 to 15 years among alternative investment vehicles. Sports cards have strong fundamentals in bringing high-valued licenses, age-tested brands, universal passion for sports, and transcendent talents together in innovative concepts.
Why Invest in This Asset? 💎

Few collectibles capture both history and market potential like this one.

Shohei Ohtani continues to transcend baseball. As a two-way player unmatched since Babe Ruth, he shattered century-old records while leading the Dodgers to back-to-back championships. His performances, from the 50-home-run and 50-stolen-base season to dominant postseason pitching, turned him into an international icon. World Series games featuring Ohtani now draw over 26 million U.S. viewers, ten million more than the NBA finals.

This card embodies that cultural rise. The 2024 Topps Dynasty Vertical Auto Patch 1-of-1 is Ohtani’s only vertical auto patch from his Dodgers debut season. The Samurai helmet-shaped patch symbolises power, precision, and Japanese heritage, while the gold design and blue autograph elevate its presentation. Dynasty’s vertical configuration was introduced with this card, marking a dual debut for both player and product. The piece remains factory-sealed in uncirculated condition, preserving grade and provenance integrity.

The entry price of €141,600 sits slightly below the verified fair value of 147,000 EUR, based on comparable 1-of-1 Ohtani cards tracked on CardLadder. Other Dynasty masterpieces with glove or bat-knob patches have achieved up to 320,000 EUR in private sales, confirming this card’s favourable positioning.

Ohtani’s CardLadder index has grown at a 98.6% CAGR since 2020. Even under conservative modelling, this asset targets 31.4% annual returns, with an optimistic case reaching 50.6%. The Sharpe ratio of 0.88 indicates strong risk-adjusted performance, while volatility of 36.2% remains typical for top-tier collectibles.

This is not just Ohtani’s rarest Dodgers-era card. It is the definitive artefact of a once-in-a-century athlete whose story continues to unfold on a global stage.

Conclusion 🎯
The 2024 Topps Dynasty Vertical Auto Patch 1-of-1 combines unmatched rarity, cultural depth, and verified value. With a 31.4% expected annual return, moderate risk, and a proven market for Ohtani’s top cards, it delivers both emotional and financial rewards to investors seeking the finest modern baseball memorabilia.

Expert

K3Y Asset

K3Y Asset is a hobby platform to tell stories in the hobby of card collecting in proper contexts and often in parallel to sports history and moments, while unlocking desirable attributes from key sports cards to elevate them into long term desirable assets.

Additional details

Asset ID
0dcfd74d-450d-4aea-9bdb-3687e7033bbc
Publisher
Sports cards
Card name
Shohei Ohtani 2024 Topps Dynasty Vertical Auto Patch 1-of-1
Publication year
2024
Player and team
Los Angeles Dodgers
Edition number (i.e. 5 of 50)
1 (unique 1-of-1)
Material
Cardboard, foil, game-used jersey patch, and ink
Condition
Encased, factory sealed, uncirculated condition

Documents

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