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Cristiano Ronaldo 2021 Prizm Premier League Nebula 1of1 PSA 8

Asset value
168.500 €
Issue price per Splint
50 €
Total number of Splints
3.370
Investment horizon in years
3 to 5
Return-to-Risk Assessment
8/10
Since launch October ‘25
+0.0%

Main reasons to invest

  • Return Potential📈: An investment of €500 could reach an estimated value of €2,049 in 5 years.

  • Cost-to-Return Ratio⚖️: With just 2.5% annual total costs, your net profit could be 32.6% per year.

  • First-Ever Prizm Nebula of CR7 🟥: This is Cristiano Ronaldo’s first-ever Prizm Nebula 1/1 — and his debut in Manchester United gear under the Prizm brand. Early Prizm 1/1 cards have sold for over $1M, and Nebula parallels like Wembanyama’s have reached $860k. As Panini shifts focus to football, early iconic CR7 cards like this one stand out as high-potential assets.

Description

Investment Thesis 📝
 
Metric Value
Investment Horizon 3–5 Years
Expected CAGR (Balanced) 32.6% p.a. after fees
Ambitious CAGR 44.2% p.a. after fees
Entry Basis 5.7% entry discount
Sharpe Ratio 0.91 (vs. SMI: 0.61)
Value at Risk (VaR) 93 % chance to exceed €168,500 after 5 years
Standard Deviation 36.4%
Risk Rating B (8.0/10 – Moderate Risk)
 
  • 3–5 Year Horizon: Targeted exit between 2028 and 2030, aligned with peak demand for first-year Prizm football grails.
  • 32.6% CAGR (Balanced): Based on the historical growth of comparable Ronaldo /5 and /7 cards (CAGR 204%–535%). A probability of 15% was applied.
  • 44.2% CAGR (Optimistic): Based on the historical growth of comparable Ronaldo /5 and /7 cards (CAGR 204%–535%). A probability of 20% was applied.
  • Historic First-Year Nebula: Ronaldo’s first-ever Prizm Nebula and first Manchester United Prizm card.
  • Sharpe Ratio 0.91: Demonstrates strong risk-adjusted return efficiency vs. benchmark.
  • VaR 93% Threshold: Indicates high downside protection, with a 93% chance of exceeding €168,500 after 5 years.
  • Standard Deviation (36.4%): Consistent with high-end 1-of-1 volatility.
  • Risk Rating “B (8.0/10)”: Balanced risk-return supported by 69 market datapoints and brand-level validation.
Exit Options at Maturity 🚪
We will manage the exit strategy in collaboration with our expert K3Y Asset on behalf of our investors, ensuring the best possible outcome based on market conditions at the time. Depending on the prevailing market situation, the card will be sold to a private collector or offered at an auction. An auction is considered if the price has developed to the point where the minimum bid matches the market value and there is high demand for works by the artist. Both options are carefully considered, and we will choose the one that maximizes the return for our investors.
Why Invest in This Category? ⚽️
Sports cards are an asset class that has enjoyed one of the highest multipliers in growth over the last 5 to 15 years among alternative investment vehicles. Sports cards have strong fundamentals in bringing high-valued licenses, age-tested brands, universal passion for sports, and transcendent talents together in innovative concepts.
Why Invest in This Asset? 💎
This card marks the first-ever Prizm Nebula 1/1 of Cristiano Ronaldo — a unique, one-of-one card — and his first appearance in Manchester United gear within the Prizm brand. This is significant because Prizm is Panini’s most iconic product line, representing the largest market capitalization in the trading card hobby. Within that, the Nebula parallel is among the most coveted, introduced in 2018 with a cosmic design that many collectors prefer over the traditional black 1/1s.

In the world of sports cards, early-year Prizm 1/1s have become elite collector targets. For example, Kobe Bryant’s 1st-year Prizm 1/1 sold for $1.6 million, and Messi’s first Prizm Gold /10 is nearing $1 million. Offers of $750k for Kobe’s 2018 Nebula and $860k sales for Wembanyama’s have been publicly recorded.

The card itself shows Ronaldo preparing for a free kick — a trademark image — and features a rich nebula design in purple and blue, perfectly matching his iconic “CR7” brand. It is graded PSA 8, a solid result given Prizm cards are known to be condition sensitive.

Beyond the card itself, the investment case is strengthened by Ronaldo’s status. With over 1 billion social media followers and 933 official career goals, he is the most followed athlete globally and arguably the most influential. He has dominated in every major league — Premier League, La Liga, and Serie A — and led Real Madrid to three consecutive UEFA Champions League titles, a feat never before achieved.

Given the rarity, brand power, card aesthetics, and global appeal of Cristiano Ronaldo, this 1/1 card stands out as a historically significant and investment-worthy piece within the sports memorabilia market.
Conclusion 🎯
Uniting historical firsts, aesthetic excellence, and data-backed market performance, the Ronaldo 2021 Prizm Premier League Nebula 1/1 PSA 8 stands as the definitive modern football grail. Its scarcity, brand prestige, and long-term appreciation potential underscore why this card occupies a singular place at the top of global sports collectibles.

Expert

K3Y Asset

K3Y Asset is a hobby platform to tell stories in the hobby of card collecting in proper contexts and often in parallel to sports history and moments, while unlocking desirable attributes from key sports cards to elevate them into long term desirable assets.

Additional details

Asset ID
156d46db-1912-4e8d-89ce-7cb17301ff4c
Publisher
Panini America
Card name
Cristiano Ronaldo 2021 Prizm Premier League Nebula
Publication year
2021
Player and team
Cristiano Ronaldo, Manchester United
Material
Cardboard, Prizm surface with Nebula effect
Condition
Graded 8 by PSA (Professional Sports Authenticator)

Documents

Aurelio Image CEO

Aurelio

CEO & Co-Founder