Banksy, Girl With Balloon, 2004
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Main reasons to invest
Return potential📈: An investment of €500 could reach an estimated value of €1,347 in 5 years.
Cost-to-return ratio⚖️: After deducting 2.4% in annual total costs, your net return could reach 21.9% per year.
Exceptional Rarity and Condition 💎: Banksy’s Girl With Balloon is one of the most iconic and sought-after artworks globally. This limited-edition print (1 of 600) combines cultural significance with investment appeal. What sets this piece apart is its excellent condition, preserved meticulously, which significantly enhances its value. The rarity of pristine examples like this makes it a standout addition to any serious collector's portfolio.
Description
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Investment Horizon | 3–5 Years |
| Expected CAGR (Balanced) | 21.9% p.a. after fees |
| Optimistic CAGR | 28.0% p.a. after fees |
| Entry Basis | 13.9% below fair value (post-fees) |
| Sharpe Ratio | 1.13 (vs. SMI: 0.61) |
| Value at Risk (VaR) | 96.5% probability to exceed entry price after 3 years |
| Standard Deviation | 19.6% |
| Risk Rating | A (9.2/10 – Low–Moderate Risk) |
- 3–5 Year Horizon: Designed to capture recovery cycles in the contemporary art market and renewed demand for Banksy’s most iconic imagery.
- 21.9% CAGR (Balanced): Based on an 80% probability of achieving the historical growth rate observed across Girl with Balloon transactions between 2013 and 2025.
- 28.0% CAGR (Optimistic): Based on an 100% probability of achieving the historical growth rate observed across Girl with Balloon transactions between 2013 and 2025.
- 13.9% Entry Discount: Acquired meaningfully below estimated fair value, enhancing downside protection and exit flexibility.
- Sharpe Ratio of 1.13: Indicates an exceptional risk-adjusted return profile, materially outperforming traditional equity benchmarks.
- 96.5% VaR Threshold: Very high probability of capital preservation over the modeled holding period.
- Standard Deviation of 19.6%: Low volatility relative to alternative assets and consistent with blue-chip contemporary art.
- Risk Rating “A”: Supported by 54 verified transaction data points and deep global liquidity for this image.
Art has long been collected for its cultural, emotional, and economic value. Works by established contemporary artists offer strong demand, proven market depth, and broad institutional support. Investing in a blue-chip name like Banksy combines financial potential with the appeal of owning a culturally significant artwork, making this category attractive for both new and experienced collectors.
Banksy’s Girl With Balloon is a product of the early 2000s street art movement, when Banksy rose to global prominence for blending powerful social messages with guerilla-style creativity. In today’s world, where art reflects societal issues, Banksy’s works remain highly relevant, ensuring sustained demand. The combination of emotional appeal and cultural commentary makes this artwork timeless.
Girl with Balloon is universally regarded as Banksy’s most iconic image—a cultural symbol that transcends the contemporary art world. Its emotional simplicity, portraying a child reaching for a heart-shaped balloon, has made it a timeless and globally resonant work. This print holds a powerful position not only in visual art but also in public consciousness, thanks in part to the sensational 2018 Sotheby’s event where a framed version of the work famously self-destructed seconds after the hammer fell. That moment captured headlines worldwide and instantly elevated the artwork's mythos. The same piece was later resold for approximately €21.6 million, cementing its status as a modern icon.
With only 600 unsigned editions ever produced, its scarcity, cultural prominence, and market history support a compelling investment case. In a recovering market, few assets offer such a rare combination of liquidity, brand power, and cultural significance. Girl with Balloon is more than art—it’s a moment, a message, and a blue-chip entry into the Banksy legacy.
Banksy’s Girl with Balloon combines cultural symbolism, proven market performance, and exceptional risk-adjusted returns. With limited supply, strong global recognition, and institutional validation, this asset stands out as a rare opportunity to invest in a blue-chip work with both emotional impact and long-term upside in a stabilizing art market.
Expert
TGB London Limited, founded in 2016 by Simon Portlock and Bradley Ridge is an art advisory and brokerage company. Leveraging the expertise of Simon and Bradley in the contemporary art market, TGB specialises in guiding collectors to curate world-class art collections. With a commitment to excellence, TGB provides unparalleled insights and support to art collectors ensuring the creation of exceptional and noteworthy collections.
