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LEGO Star Wars Advent Calendar Bundle 2023–2025

Asset value
16.250 €
Earning potential
12.73%
Splints left
325/325
Investment horizon in years
4-6
Return-to-Risk Assessment
6/10
Performance since release
+0.0%

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Main reasons to invest

  • Return potential📈: An investment of €500 could reach an estimated value of €1,026 in 5 years.

  • Cost-to-return ratio⚖️: With 2.4% annual total costs, your net profit could be 1% per year.

  • The collector’s trilogy ✨: Three years, one complete story. This sealed LEGO Star Wars bundle captures the magic of the holidays and the power of a legendary franchise. Each calendar adds its own piece to a growing legacy of creativity, nostalgia, and limited availability – turning festive fun into a collectible opportunity.

Description

Investment Thesis: 📝
 
Metric Value
Investment Horizon 4–6 years
Expected CAGR (Balanced) 12.7% p.a. after fees
Ambitious CAGR 14.9% p.a. after fees
Entry Basis ~9% vs. retail benchmarks (toppreise.ch)
Sharpe Ratio 0.66 (vs. SMI: 0.61)
Value at Risk (VaR) 93% chance to exceed €16,250 after 6 years
Standard Deviation 19.3%
Risk Rating B (8.0/10 - Moderate Risk)
 
  • 4 – 6 year horizon: Timed to match when all three sets are fully retired and collector demand peaks. This is when scarcity really starts to pay off.
  • 12.7% CAGR (balanced): Based on replicating 70% of the 20% growth seen in comparable LEGO Star Wars sets between 2014 and 2025.
  • 14.9% CAGR (optimistic): Reflects ongoing collector demand for complete Star Wars runs and the limited supply after retirement.
  • ~9% entry discount: The purchase price of €16,250 sits below current retail listings (toppreise.ch), offering a smart, fair entry point.
  • Sharpe Ratio of 0.66: A strong risk-return balance that beats many other collectibles while keeping volatility moderate.
  • 93% VaR threshold: High confidence in protecting capital over six years, thanks to the mix of three sought-after sets.
  • Standard deviation 19.3%: Represents moderate volatility in line with the LEGO Star Wars theme’s history.
  • Risk rating “B”: A moderately risky but strong-performing collectible with solid brand power, active resale markets, and proven appreciation.
Why Invest in This Category? 
Investing in LEGO sets offers strong potential for returns due to their limited production runs, high collectibility, and consistent demand. Many LEGO sets, especially themed or limited-edition releases, appreciate in value after they are discontinued, sometimes significantly. LEGO appeals to a wide range of buyers, from collectors to casual enthusiasts, ensuring a steady secondary market. Additionally, LEGO sets hold value well over time and often outpace more traditional investments in terms of percentage growth. This makes them an attractive, low-risk option for investors seeking both short-term and long-term returns.
Why Invest in This Asset? 💎

This bundle is all about rarity and completeness: Each calendar – 2023 (75366), 2024 (75395), and 2025 (75418) – is produced for just one season before being retired, which quickly drives up demand. Together, they form a full trilogy of LEGO Star Wars holiday calendars – a format that has historically outperformed single releases.

Star Wars is one of the crown jewels of LEGO’s long-term success story. It brings together generations of fans, a timeless narrative, and exclusive designs that collectors love. Advent calendars hold a unique position within this world: they’re seasonal, feature festive mini-builds, and include rare minifigures found nowhere else. That mix of charm and exclusivity keeps them in high demand among adult collectors (AFOLs) and Star Wars enthusiasts.

The numbers back it up: The 2023 calendar rose +49% in value within two years, while the 2024 edition gained +128% in just twelve months. This bundle also comes at a 9% discount compared with current retail benchmarks – a strong entry point ahead of the 2025 calendar’s release, which will complete the trilogy and likely spark another wave of collector interest.

With a 4–6 year investment horizon, this bundle captures the sweet spot when all three editions are fully retired and scarcity peaks. Moderate volatility (19.3%) and a projected annual return of 12.7% make it a balanced entry into the world of tangible collectibles.

Conclusion 🎯
The LEGO Star Wars Advent Calendar Bundle blends emotional value with data-backed returns. Its limited releases, exclusive minifigures, and trilogy completeness make it a standout in the collectible space. With a balanced risk-return profile, it’s a low-entry, medium-return opportunity that blends  fan enthusiasm with market discipline for a clear and data-driven investment case.

Expert

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Additional details

Asset ID
1b3b3aaf-5fbf-4a17-8fcc-83a2fb309349
Set number
75366 / 75395 / 75418
Name
LEGO Star Wars Advent Calendar 2023 / 2024 / 2025
Theme
LEGO Star Wars
Released
2023 / 2024 / 2025
Pieces per set
50 sets 1. 50 sets (75366) 50 sets / 75366 & 75385 (each)) & 350 sets (75418)
Box condition
MISB/Mint in sealed box

Documents

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Aurelio

CEO & Co-Founder