Maria Kreyn, Orchid, 2023

Investment Thesis 📝

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1. Fair Entry Price with Valuation Support
Acquired at €108.7k (all-in), Orchid is fairly priced based on auction comparables:
- Size- and time-adjusted fair value is estimated in the range of €116.2k (average estimate) to €316.2k (realised price), based on the record-setting auction sale of Gravity from the same “Storm” series.
- Sourced directly from the artist’s agent, with full provenance and professional storage
- This disciplined entry price offers exposure to a high-growth artist while anchoring downside risk with a strong valuation floor. The recent auction surprise — a sale 172% above estimate — highlights the asset’s exceptional upside potential.

2. Rising Market Profile with a Record-Breaking Auction
Maria Kreyn is gaining global momentum, backed by institutional and market validation:
- Gravity sold at €410,465 in Nov 2024, 172% above estimate — setting a new artist benchmark
- Ranked #1 artist under 40 by Artprice for strongest 2024 debut
- Featured in the Venice Biennale 2024; upcoming solo show at Fitzrovia Chapel, London (Oct 2025)
- In talks with major galleries and museums for 2026 exhibitions
- Her expanding visibility and collector base support sustained market growth.

3. Strong Return Potential with Solid Risk Profile
Based on a 3–5 year horizon, using historical CAGR and Value at Risk (VaR) modeling, projected outcomes from the €99.5k entry price are:
Base Case (Gallery CAGR, 60% probability): → €336.4k, CAGR: 27.6%
Optimistic Case (Gallery CAGR, 80% probability): → €476.5k, CAGR: 36.8%

Even after fees and platform costs, the net return is estimated at 24.8% p.a. The Sharpe Ratio of 1.12 indicates a strong risk-adjusted return, with standard deviation calibrated conservatively using Banksy as a reference for added downside protection. Importantly, the recent auction surprise — a sale 172% above estimate — was not included in the model, offering further upside potential.

Exit Options at Maturity 🚪

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We will manage the exit strategy in collaboration with our expert M&A Arts on behalf of our investors, ensuring the best possible outcome based on market conditions at the time. Depending on the prevailing market situation, the painting will be sold to a private collector or offered as a single lot at an auction for contemporary art. An auction is considered if the price has developed to the point where the minimum bid matches the market value and there is high demand for works by the artist. Both options are carefully considered, and we will choose the one that maximizes the return for our investors.

Why Invest in This Category? 🎨

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For centuries, art was collected for its cultural, emotional, intellectual, political, and economic value. Investing in a mid-career artist offers a mix of financial potential and personal satisfaction, making it an appealing option for both new and seasoned collectors.

Why Invest in This Asset? 💎

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Maria Kreyn is an American artist renowned for her evocative oil paintings that blend masterful figuration with abstract geometries and elemental atmospherics. She currently lives and works in Brooklyn.

Born in 1987 in Nizhny Novgorod, Russia, Kreyn grew up in America and only came to painting when she was 20. She first pursued studies in mathematics and philosophy at the University of Chicago in 2008. As she grew frustrated and bored with the academic environment, she moved to Norway to apprentice with a painter. Later, she followed her mentor to Iceland, where she lived and worked in the former public library in Reykjavik.

By the age of 24, she returned to the US with a renewed perspective. She begun creating highly realistic oil paintings that explore human relationships and capture intimate moments of passion and isolation with a distinctly modern sensibility. Kreyn's background in highly refined figurative paintings lends a strong foundation of drawing and representational rendering that permeates and enhances her recent work's abstract marks.

Kreyn's work is deeply rooted in the Western painting tradition, drawing inspiration from Old Masters like Caravaggio and Rembrandt. Her paintings often explore themes of nature, the human body, and the materiality of time, creating hybrid compositions that merge formalism with Romantic sensibilities. Her education in mathematics and philosophy, and her interest in neuroscience and mythology, lead Kreyn to atypical connections between disparate fields.

Her distinctive style has garnered attention in prominent publications such as Vanity Fair, The Wall Street Journal, The Art Newspaper, and The Financial Times.

Among her notable projects is "The Shakespeare Cycle", a series of eight monumental paintings commissioned by Andrew Lloyd Webber in 2021, now permanently displayed in the lobby of London's historic Theatre Royal Drury Lane. Her painting "Alone Together" gained widespread recognition after being featured in Shonda Rhimes' ABC television show "The Catch," and her works have also appeared in the award-winning series "The Crown."

In 2024, Kreyn was featured in a landmark solo exhibition titled "Chronos" during the 60th Venice Biennale, held at St. George’s Anglican Church in Venice. Ten monumental “Storm” paintings, the same series as the painting we are offering, transformed the historic space into something timeless, creating a powerful dialogue between art, time, and place.

Also in 2024, her work appeared at auction for the first time. On November 11, a large painting titled “Gravity” (178 x 229 cm) from the “Storm” series achieved a spectacular result at Sotheby’s Hong Kong, selling for GBP 407,759 (including buyer’s premium)—a price 172% above its high estimate of GBP 149,911.

Kreyn’s work has been exhibited in numerous galleries and museums across the U.S. and Europe. Her agent is currently in discussions with multiple museums interested in showing her work in 2026, as well as with several prominent international galleries regarding future representation.

Selected Solo Exhibitions:

• 2025 - Fitzrovia Chapel, London (Oct 12 – Upcoming)
• 2024 - “Chronos”, Venice Biennale, St George’s Anglican Church
• 2023 - “Untune A String”, The Hole, Tribeca, New York
• 2023 - “Lensing A Storm”, Secteur Privé, London
• 2021 - “Maria Kreyn: Recent Works”, Hillsdale College, Michigan
• 2021 - “The Shakespeare Cycle”, Theatre Royal Drury Lane, London
• 2018 - “Polyphony”, Heist Gallery, London
• 2018 - “How To Become A Cloud”, Fabien Fryns Fine Art, Marbella
• 2017 - “May You Live In Interesting Times”, Booth Gallery, New York

Selected Group Exhibitions:

• 2025 - “A Mysterious Vision”, Robilant + Voena, New York (May–June)
• 2024 - “Whose Muse”, Palo Gallery, New York
• 2024 - “Something Woman This Way Comes”, Patricia Low Contemporary, Gstaad
• 2024 - “Zona Maco Art Fair”, The Hole Gallery, Mexico City
• 2024 - “Arcadia and Elsewhere”, James Cohan Gallery, New York
• 2023 - “Femme F(r)ictions”, Colnaghi Gallery, New York
• 2022 - “Influences of Time”, Colnaghi Gallery, New York
• 2022 - “Past Life Regression Portraits”, Spring/Break, New York
• 2019 - “She Persists”, Heist Gallery, Venice Biennale
• 2018 - “Summer of Love”, Freight + Volume, New York
• 2017 - “Figurative Futures”, 101/Exhibit, Los Angeles
• 2017 - “Palette”, Abend Gallery, Denver
• 2017 - “Et Arcadia In Ego”, California Lutheran University
• 2017 - “Psychological Realism”, Booth Gallery, New York
• 2017 - “Bombay Beach Biennale”, California

Context in Time ⏳

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Orchid was created in 2023 as part of Kreyn’s breakout Storm series—unveiled during the 60th Venice Biennale and followed by major gallery placements across Europe and the U.S. This is the most institutionally visible period of her career, with momentum building toward a pivotal solo show in October 2025.

Conclusion 🎯

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Maria Kreyn’s Orchid is a singular opportunity—an original from her breakout series, offered before price acceleration outpaces access. With institutional momentum, auction validation, and deep emotional power, this work merges rarity with relevance. A bold, resonant acquisition—poised for both capital growth and cultural permanence.