LEGO Formula Bundle I - (260 Sets)

Investment Thesis 📝

---

Strong Return Opportunity Supported by Market Data
This investment thesis is built on the robust performance of LEGO Speed Champions Formula sets, leveraging historical sales data and recent market trends for F1-themed LEGO collectibles.

Balanced Scenario (CAGR, 2025–2030):
→ €31,010 | CAGR: 10.3% p.a.

Optimistic Scenario (CAGR, 2025–2030):
→ €36,523 | CAGR: 13.3% p.a.
Retired Speed Champions sets have historically achieved annualized growth rates between 15–32%, though forward-looking returns are modeled more conservatively due to increased supply. The investment offers a projected net ROI of 10.3% p.a. after fees, with a Sharpe ratio of 0.75 indicating a solid risk-adjusted return, supported by strong collector demand and official F1 licensing.

Risk Profile and Volatility Benchmarking
Risk modeling applies observed volatility from 2024–2025, excluding outliers, resulting in a standard deviation of 15.3%.
Value at Risk (VaR): There is a 75% probability that the asset’s value will exceed €20,000 after 5 years. This provides meaningful capital loss protection and reflects the asset’s resilience, even as future returns are expected to be slightly lower than historical highs due to broader availability.

Asset Acquired at Fair Value with Transparent Pricing
The expert-offered price is fairly valued, with an 8% premium to fair value after fees, benchmarked against toppreise.ch. This ensures the entry point is competitive within the current market environment, and the transparent pricing methodology supports confidence in the asset’s valuation.

Distinctive Features Enhancing Market Value
These assets benefit from strong collector demand, official F1 team licensing, and the appeal of Speed Champions lines. The 2025 launch of all 10 F1 team sets is expected to drive further interest in earlier models, especially for collectors seeking complete team lineups. Diversification across multiple sets and themes strengthens the investment’s risk-return profile, while the global popularity of Formula 1 and LEGO ensures enduring liquidity and market appeal.

Exit Options at Maturity 🚪

---

We will manage the exit strategy on behalf of our investors, ensuring the best possible outcome based on market conditions at the time. Depending on the value of the models and the prevailing market situation, we can either sell the sets privately to a wholesaler or to individual collectors. Both options are carefully considered, and we will choose the one that maximizes the return for our investors.

Why Invest in This Category? 🧱

---

Investing in LEGO sets offers strong potential for returns due to their limited production runs, high collectibility, and consistent demand. Many LEGO sets, especially themed or limited-edition releases, appreciate in value after they are discontinued—sometimes significantly. LEGO appeals to a wide range of buyers, from collectors to casual enthusiasts, ensuring a steady secondary market. These sets often hold value better than traditional investments.

Why Invest in This Asset? 💎

---

The LEGO Formula One I – June 2025 bundle merges three unique, licensed F1 sets: the Technic McLaren F1 (42141), the Speed Champions McLaren 2023 (76919), and the Mercedes-AMG duo (76909). With official partnerships from both McLaren and Mercedes, this display spans the elite of motorsport branding. All items are MISB and nearing—or already past—their production lifespans, creating a tight supply outlook in the next 12–18 months.

Speed Champions and Technic lines have demonstrated consistent post-EOL appreciation, especially when attached to globally recognized franchises. Beyond scarcity, the bundle benefits from thematic alignment and visual coherence—each set is a tribute to racing excellence, allowing collectors to showcase or store them as a unified, high-impact display.

The dual market appeal (LEGO enthusiasts and F1 fans) elevates liquidity, while the fact that these sets were published in 2022 and 2024 with fixed discontinuation dates removes uncertainty over future reissues. As Formula 1 continues to gain media and fan momentum, tied merchandise like this becomes part of cultural memorabilia—especially when retired.

Conclusion 🎯

---

This asset combines fair pricing, cultural relevance, and structural scarcity. It offers retail investors a rare opportunity to enter the LEGO collectible market with low volatility, verified track record, and high thematic appeal. A sealed, licensed F1 bundle this complete won’t stay accessible—or undervalued—for long.