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One Piece Romance Dawn 1st Wave

Asset value
11.650,00 €
Earning potential
32.4%
Splints left
233/233
Investment horizon in years
4-6
Return-to-Risk Assessment
8/10
Performance since release
+0.0%

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Main reasons to invest

  • Return Potential: An investment of €500 could reach an estimated value of €2,692 in 6 years.

  • Cost-to-Return Ratio: With just 3.9% annual total costs, your net profit could be 32.4% per year.

  • First Edition Rarity: Powered by One Piece’s global popularity, Romance Dawn – 1st Wave combines strong collector demand with a 9.5% entry discount, enhancing both cultural appeal and immediate upside potential.

Description

Investment Case
Investment Thesis
 
Metric Value
Investment Horizon 4–6 Years (Target exit: 2030–2032)
Expected CAGR (Balanced) 32.4% p.a. after fees
Optimistic CAGR 44.3% p.a. after fees
Entry Basis 9.0% discount to market prior to fees
Sharpe Ratio 0.9
Value at Risk (VaR) 94.9% probability of exceeding initial investment after 6 years
Standard Deviation 38.0%
Number of Sales Points 60 main comparables
Risk Rating 7, Moderate to High (collectible volatility, market dependent)
  • 4–6 Year Horizon: Planned exit between 2030 and 2032 to capture continued growth in the One Piece Trading Card Game market and increasing collector demand for first-edition releases.
  • 32.4% Net ROI p.a. (Balanced): Based on a probability-weighted scenario using recent trading card market studies and observed performance of inaugural trading card game releases.
  • 44.3% Net ROI p.a. (Ambitious): Reflects a stronger upside scenario supported by the unique first-wave status, global One Piece brand strength, and sustained collector interest.
  • 9.0% Discount to Market: Entry pricing was verified below current market value prior to fees, supporting an attractive acquisition basis.
  • Sharpe Ratio of 0.9: Indicates an attractive risk-adjusted return profile relative to expected appreciation, outperforming the SMI's five-year average of 0.6.
  • VaR 94.9%: Modelled probability that the asset value exceeds the initial investment after six years.
  • Standard Deviation (38.0%): Reflects moderate to high volatility typical of collectible trading cards with growing but evolving market dynamics.
  • 60 Main Comparables: The investment case is anchored by a substantial dataset of relevant market transactions, providing strong analytical foundation while acknowledging the emerging nature of this specific trading card game.
Category
Why Invest in This Category?
 
Investing in One Piece manga cards is particularly timely as the world’s largest manga franchise continues its global mainstream expansion. With the trading card ecosystem still structurally younger than Pokémon’s, early exposure offers a rare opportunity to capture value before long-term cultural dominance, scarcity, and rising international demand are fully priced into the market.
Asset Specifics
Why Invest in This Asset?
 

 

The One Piece Romance Dawn 1st Wave is more than a trading card set — it is the inaugural release of the One Piece Trading Card Game and a foundational collectible within one of the world's most beloved franchises. As the first edition, it holds a unique position that cannot be replicated, offering both historical significance and long-term scarcity in a rapidly expanding market.

Key Highlight
This asset is acquired at a 9.0% discount to market prior to fees, providing immediate value entry into a first-edition release backed by a CAGR of 109.9% from November 2025 to March 2026, with realistic annual yield projections of 32.4%.

What makes this piece especially compelling is its cultural resonance. One Piece continues to attract new fans globally, sustaining demand across generations and creating a constant influx of collectors. First-wave releases in successful trading card ecosystems often become symbolic anchors, benefiting from both nostalgia and scarcity as the market matures.

The trading card asset class has demonstrated strong appeal due to its tangible nature, cultural relevance, and independence from traditional financial markets. This makes it an attractive diversification tool for investors seeking exposure to alternative assets where emotion and strategy converge.

For investors, the appeal lies in the combination of first-edition status, franchise longevity, disciplined entry pricing, and high growth potential. With an investment horizon of 4 to 6 years and verified authenticity, this asset offers exposure to a culturally iconic and increasingly financialized collectible market.

 

Summary
Conclusion
 
One Piece Romance Dawn 1st Wave combines first-edition scarcity, global franchise momentum, and trading card market resilience. As the inaugural release of a culturally iconic game, it offers non-repeatable provenance and cross-generational appeal. Its rarity, brand strength, and entry discount position it as a compelling long-term collectible for investors seeking diversification beyond traditional markets.

Expert

CollectorsDeal

Collectorsdeal was born from a true passion for collecting and play. What started as a personal hobby quickly grew into a joyful project.

Additional details

Asset ID
30ebf124-3a05-485a-be6f-394f339acde6
Trading Card Franchise
One Piece
Era
Blue Bottom (Wave 1)
Set
Romance Dawn (OP-01)
Publication year
2022
PSA Grade
n/a - complete booster box sealed
Number of cards
12 cards per pack, 24 packs

Documents

Aurelio Image CEO

Aurelio

CEO & Co-Founder

One Piece Romance Dawn 1st Wave