Shai Gilgeous-Alexander 2022 Prizm Auto Patch 1of1 Encased
Main reasons to invest
Return Potential📈: An investment of €500 could reach an estimated value of €1,694 in 5 years.
Cost-to-Return Ratio⚖️: With just 2.6% annual total costs (July / August releases with no exit fees), your net profit could be 27.6% per year.
Own the Defining 1-of-1 💎: This card captures a once-in-a-generation moment: the NBA’s newest triple crown MVP, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, and his only Prizm Auto Patch card ever produced. With Panini’s NBA license ending and this edition forever capped at a single copy, owning it means holding a pivotal piece of basketball history.
Description
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Investment Horizon | 3–5 Years |
| Expected CAGR (Balanced) | 27.6% p.a. after fees |
| Ambitious CAGR | 45.7% p.a. after fees |
| Entry Discount | 13.1% below fair market value |
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.73 (vs. SMI: 0.61) |
| Value at Risk (VaR) | 90% chance to exceed €57,000 |
| Standard Deviation | 38.7% |
| Risk Rating | B (7.2/10 – Moderate Risk) |
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3–5 Year Horizon: The targeted exit aligns with collector demand cycles, capitalizing on Shai’s breakout MVP season and limited availability of comparable 1/1 Prizm Auto Patches.
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27.6% CAGR (Balanced): Derived from applying a 50% replication probability of historical performance based on comparable 1-of-1 Prizm rookie auto patches.
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45.7% CAGR (Optimistic): Supported by unprecedented scarcity, Shai’s historic MVP and championship season, and growing collector relevance.
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13.1% Entry Discount: Acquired at €50,000 pre-fees (€56,500 total), representing a pricing advantage versus the estimated fair market value of €65,027, validated by three premium comparables.
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Sharpe Ratio of 0.73: Indicates a solid risk-adjusted return profile compared to benchmarks like the SMI (0.61), positioning it strongly within ultra-premium sports collectibles.
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90% VaR Threshold: The model forecasts a high probability of exceeding €57,000 after five years, offering robust downside protection.
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38.7% Volatility: Reflects moderate-to-high risk in line with rare trophy collectibles but balanced by sustained collector demand and a strong market narrative.
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B-Rated Risk: Backed by extreme rarity, unique provenance, and robust pricing benchmarks — a singular opportunity for collectors seeking a truly scarce and culturally significant sports asset.
We will manage the exit strategy in collaboration with our expert K3Y Asset on behalf of our investors, ensuring the best possible outcome based on market conditions at the time. Depending on the prevailing market situation, the card will be sold to a private collector or offered at an auction. An auction is considered if the price has developed to the point where the minimum bid matches the market value and there is high demand for works by the artist. Both options are carefully considered, and we will choose the one that maximizes the return for our investors.
Sports cards are an asset class that has enjoyed one of the highest multipliers in growth over the last 5 to 15 years among alternative investment vehicles. Sports cards have strong fundamentals in bringing high-valued licenses, age-tested brands, universal passion for sports, and transcendent talents together in innovative concepts.
This Shai Gilgeous-Alexander 2022 Prizm Auto Patch 1/1 represents one of the rarest and most significant basketball cards released in recent years. It is the only Prizm Auto Patch card ever produced for Shai, making it unique within Panini’s Prizm line—the most recognized and liquid brand in the hobby. Featuring a five-color player-worn patch, flawless autograph, and premium encasing, the card combines exceptional design with unmatched provenance.
Shai’s market relevance has surged following his historic 2024–25 season, where he became the NBA’s first “triple crown” winner since Shaquille O’Neal in 2000—securing the scoring title, regular-season MVP, and Finals MVP. His role in leading the Oklahoma City Thunder, one of the youngest and most organically built teams in the league, to their first NBA championship solidifies his long-term profile as a marquee player.
Adding to its rarity, this card was released as part of a Panini NFT VIP event, known for its exclusivity, where tickets cost over $30,000. It was then sold via Dutch auction the following day, making its provenance directly tied to a landmark Panini blockchain moment, which has generated more than $113M in cumulative sales volume.
Given Panini’s NBA license expiring in favor of Topps/Fanatics, no future Prizm Auto Patch cards for Shai will ever be produced, securing its irreplaceable status. Combined with robust market demand, scarcity, and the player’s career trajectory, this 1-of-1 represents a high-profile “trophy” collectible at the intersection of rarity, performance, and cultural relevance.
The Shai Gilgeous-Alexander 2022 Prizm Auto Patch 1/1 is more than a collectible—it’s a unique sports milestone. Backed by rarity, secure provenance, and Shai’s ascendant career, it offers a balanced entry point supported by data-driven projections and robust market demand, aligning historical significance with tangible long-term growth potential.
Expert
K3Y Asset is a hobby platform to tell stories in the hobby of card collecting in proper contexts and often in parallel to sports history and moments, while unlocking desirable attributes from key sports cards to elevate them into long term desirable assets.
