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Kobe Bryant 2007 UD Chronology Timeless Memories 1/99 PSA 8 + 10 Auto

Asset value
99.600 €
Issue price per Splint
50 €
Total number of Splints
1.992
Investment horizon in years
3 to 5
Return-to-Risk Assessment
6/10
Since launch September ‘25
+0.0%

Main reasons to invest

  • Return Potential📈: An investment of €500 could reach an estimated value of €1,680 in 5 years.

  • Cost-to-Return Ratio⚖️: With just 2.1% annual total costs (September releases with no exit fees), your net profit could be 27.4% per year.

  • A Pinnacle Kobe Collectible 🏀: This card encapsulates one of Kobe Bryant’s defining career moments — his Finals-clinching shot — in a first-serial masterpiece graded PSA 8 with a flawless PSA 10 autograph. It combines rarity, artistry, and cultural significance, standing at the intersection of sports history and collectible innovation. For discerning collectors seeking trophy-grade assets, this represents a rare opportunity to own a cornerstone of Kobe’s legacy.

Description

Investment Thesis 📝
 
Metric Value
Investment horizon 3–5 years
Expected CAGR (balanced) 27.4% p.a. after fees
Ambitious CAGR 47.1% p.a. after fees
Entry discount Fair price (versus auctions)
Sharpe ratio 0.69 (vs. SMI: 0.61)
Value at Risk (VaR) 75% probability that €126,700 will be exceeded
Standard deviation 39.6%
Risk rating B (7.6/10 – moderate risk)
 
  • 3–5 year time horizon: Planned exit between 2028 and 2030, aligned with collector demand cycles and Kobe’s continued global relevance.

  • 27.4% CAGR (balanced): Based on a 30% probability that the historical outperformance of comparable Kobe autograph cards will recur.

  • 47.1% CAGR (optimistic): Supported by the 1/99 serial number, a pristine PSA 10 autograph, and Kobe’s enduring cultural significance in the ultra-premium sports market.

  • Fair entry price: The €99,600 purchase price is considered fair, supported by a 3×–4× premium for first-series Kobe cards confirmed by multiple comparable sales.

  • Sharpe ratio of 0.69: Provides strong risk-adjusted returns versus the Swiss Market Index (SMI 0.61), outperforming broader benchmarks.

  • 75% VaR threshold: The model indicates a high probability that the value will exceed €126,700 after five years, ensuring robust downside protection relative to entry cost.

  • 39.6% volatility: Indicates a medium-to-high risk profile typical of high-end collectibles, balanced by proven collector demand and Kobe’s global fan base.

  • Risk rated B (7.6/10): Owing to its rarity, historical sales data (78 comparable points), and consistent worldwide demand, this card is a coveted Kobe investment.

Why invest in this category? 🏀
Sports cards are an asset class that has delivered one of the highest growth multiples among alternative investments over the past 5 to 15 years. They rest on strong fundamentals—premium licenses, established brands, the universal passion for sports, and elite talent brought together in innovative concepts.
Why invest in this asset? 💎

This Kobe Bryant Timeless Memories card blends artistry, rarity, and historical significance in a single collectible. Released by Upper Deck in 2007, the series pioneered the “moment-based” card concept, moving from generic action shots to designs that immortalize pivotal career highlights. This specific card depicts Kobe’s clutch overtime shot during the 2000 NBA Finals, a moment that gave the Lakers a decisive 3–1 lead and laid the foundation for their three-peat dynasty.

The aesthetic leans into fine-art cues: a canvas-textured surface, a painting-inspired composition, and a silver-ink on-card autograph graded PSA 10. It is also the first-printed card of the run (serial 1/99), which meaningfully boosts its appeal. Among Kobe’s pure autograph issues from the 2000s, this release stands out as one of the most important.

Market dynamics reinforce its significance. High-end Kobe pieces have seen unprecedented demand since 2017, with his overall index rising roughly sevenfold in six years (CAGR ≈ 40%). For this card in particular, comparable sales have shown aggressive price appreciation, with premium serial numbers like this one commanding three-times-plus multiples over standard copies.

Moreover, this card comes from the same release season as the record-setting Kobe/Jordan collaboration card that sold for $12.9 million in 2025, cementing its place in the ultra-premium tier. Combined with Kobe’s lasting cultural impact, five NBA championships, and a global collector base, the long-term value proposition is compelling. Its mix of rarity, condition, and narrative makes it a top-tier collectible for discerning investors.

Conclusion 🎯
The Kobe Bryant 2007 UD Chronology Timeless Memories 1/99 PSA 8 + 10 Auto combines narrative design, elite rarity, and historical relevance. Backed by robust market data, strong collector demand, and a fair entry price, it offers an exceptional opportunity to participate in the long-term growth of ultra-premium sports memorabilia.

Expert

K3Y Asset

K3Y Asset is a hobby platform to tell stories in the hobby of card collecting in proper contexts and often in parallel to sports history and moments, while unlocking desirable attributes from key sports cards to elevate them into long term desirable assets.

Additional details

Asset ID
478463a7-d803-48d7-827b-852071832e94
Card name
Kobe Bryant 2007 UD Chronology Timeless Memories
Publication year
2007-08
Player and team
Kobe Bryant, Los Angeles Lakers
Edition number (i.e. 5 of 50)
1 of 99, the first one made
Material
Cardboard with Canvas texture, and Ink.
Condition
Graded 8 by PSA (Professional Sports Authenticator) with 10 Autograph

Documents

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