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Fernando Botero, Seated woman, 2003

Asset value
294.150 €
Earning potential
14%
Splints left
5.883/5.883
Investment horizon in years
2-4
Return-to-Risk Assessment
8/10
Performance since release
+0.0%

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Main reasons to invest

  • Return potential📈: An investment of €500 could reach an estimated value of €845 in 4 years.

  • Cost-to-return ratio⚖️: With just 1.3% annual total costs, your net profit could be 14% per year.

  • A timeless figure with lasting power 💫: Botero’s “Seated Woman” captures the warmth, confidence, and quiet strength that define his most loved sculptures. Collectors connect deeply with these rounded forms because they feel human, calm, and grounded. This bronze also comes from a rare edition, carries clear provenance, and reflects Botero’s mature vision. It offers the emotional satisfaction of owning a work that feels both timeless and full of life.

Description

Investment Thesis: 📝
 
Metric Value
Investment Horizon 2-4 Years
Expected CAGR (Balanced) 14.0% p.a. after fees
Ambitious CAGR 19.0% p.a. after fees
Entry Basis ≈11.5% below fair value
Sharpe Ratio 0.83 (vs. SMI: 0.61)
Value at Risk (VaR) 95.8% chance to exceed €294,150 after 4 years
Standard Deviation 15.4%
Risk Rating A (8.8/10 - Low Risk)
 
  • 2–4 year horizon: The timeline fits the posthumous surge in Botero demand and the current seller-friendly market created by increased supply in 2023–2024.
  • 14.0% CAGR (balanced): Based on a 75% probability of achieving the 15.9% annual return recorded for Botero sculptures between 2016 and 2019.
  • 19.0% CAGR (optimistic): Supported by strong performance of Botero bronze sculptures, especially female figures, and continued global interest in his estate-period works.
  • ≈11.5% entry discount: The price reflects an 11.5% discount versus size- and inflation-adjusted fair value. After fees, the effective discount is 7.1%.
  • Sharpe ratio 0.83: Higher than the SMI’s five-year benchmark of 0.61.
  • 95.8% VaR threshold: High likelihood of exceeding the total all-in investment of 294,150 EUR within four years.
  • Standard deviation 15.4%: Low to moderate volatility for a blue-chip sculptural market.
  • Risk rating “A”: Low-risk investemnt opportunity supported by a long track record of stable demand for Botero bronzes.
Why Invest in This Category? 
For centuries, art has been collected for its cultural, emotional, intellectual, political, and economic value. Sculptures by established artists offer strong resilience, steady auction liquidity, and broad institutional interest. This makes the category appealing for investors seeking both cultural relevance and measurable financial performance.
Why Invest in This Asset? 💎

“Seated Woman” is a rare bronze from a small edition of six with two artist proofs. The work captures Botero’s signature rounded forms and belongs to the sculptural category that consistently outperforms other subjects in his market. Female bronzes in particular show long-term price stability and steady appreciation, supported by strong collector demand.

The provenance strengthens the case: Ramis Barquet Gallery, a Miami private collection, and the Artemundi Global Fund. This chain supports authenticity and adds confidence for future resale. Botero’s market has been especially active since his passing in 2023, with the highest auction turnover since 2000. Demand remains strong as collectors, institutions, and estates continue to acquire key works.

The acquisition price of €294,150 enters at an 11.5% discount to fair value before fees, offering built-in upside. Comparable sculptures show consistent growth with limited volatility. Supply remains low, and institutional visibility for Botero remains high across major museums.

Over a 2–4 year horizon, the asset combines cultural prestige, a discounted entry point, and a measurable performance record for bronze works. Sculptures like this occupy a stable, liquid segment of Botero’s market and remain attractive even through broader market cycles.

Conclusion 🎯
“Seated Woman” stands at the intersection of cultural value and financial potential. The work enters at a clear discount, benefits from strong posthumous demand, and belongs to a proven segment of Botero’s market. These factors support a solid medium-term appreciation outlook and make the sculpture a strong candidate for a diversified art-focused investment strategy.

Expert

Artemundi

Since our foundation in 1989, Artemundi has evolved into an industry-leading art investment company with thousands of successful transactions and over a billion dollars managed in art. Artemundi is the trusted advisor of Spectrum Utilis, S.L.

Additional details

Asset ID
4b354942-b3b9-4237-b7d0-df9cf1f3a79e
Name
Seated woman
Artist
Fernando Botero
Publication year
2003
Size
48 x 31 x 25 cm
Editionnumber
A/P
Signature
Stamped and signed on base
Material
Bronze

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