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Erling Haaland 2023-24 National Treasures Auto 1of1 Encased

Asset value
57.850,00 €
Earning potential
28%
Splints left
1.157/1.157
Investment horizon in years
3-5
Return-to-Risk Assessment
8/10
Performance since release
+0.0%

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Main reasons to invest

  • Return Potential: An investment of €500 could reach an estimated value of €1,719 in 5 years.

  • Cost-to-Return Ratio: With just 2.7% annual total costs, your net profit could be 28% per year.

  • True 1of1 Rarity: The first and only National Treasures autograph 1/1 of Erling Haaland, combining true rarity, elite brand prestige, and a 9.4% buffer based on recent comparable sales.

Description

Investment Case
Investment Thesis
 
Metric Value
Investment Horizon 3–5 Years (Target exit: 2029–2031)
Expected CAGR (Balanced) 28.0% p.a. after fees
Optimistic CAGR 38.2% p.a. after fees
Entry Basis 6.3% buffer to reference price
Sharpe Ratio 0.82
Value at Risk (VaR) 91.8% probability of exceeding initial investment after 5 years
Standard Deviation 34.8%
Number of Sales Points 30 comparable sales
Risk Rating Moderate to High (high volatility, niche collectible market)
  • 3–5 Year Horizon: Planned exit between 2029 and 2031 to capture Haaland's continued dominance as the world's premier striker and growing collector demand for true 1-of-1 cards.
  • 28.0% Net ROI p.a. (Balanced): Based on probability-weighted scenarios using comparable Haaland card performance and market trends for elite sports trading cards.
  • 38.2% Net ROI p.a. (Ambitious): Reflects a stronger upside scenario supported by Haaland's historic scoring records, World Cup debut momentum, and the card's irreplaceable status as his first and only National Treasures Auto 1-of-1.
  • 6.3% Buffer to Reference Price: Entry pricing was verified below current market value after fees, providing an attractive acquisition basis for this ultra-rare asset.
  • True 1-of-1 Rarity: This is Haaland's first and only autographed 1-of-1 card in Panini's prestigious National Treasures brand, with no parallels or variations, ensuring absolute uniqueness and irreplaceability.
  • Sharpe Ratio of 0.82: Indicates a solid risk-adjusted return profile relative to expected appreciation in the high-end sports card market.
  • VaR 91.8%: Modelled probability reflects the higher volatility inherent in sports trading cards, particularly for single-player 1-of-1 assets.
  • Standard Deviation (34.8%): Reflects higher volatility typical of elite sports cards, calculated using comparable athlete performance data from cardalder.com.
  • 30 Comparable Sales: The investment case is supported by 30 relevant market data points, including landmark Haaland sales and strong recent performance with a 1.53x index increase over 6 months.
  • Factory Encased Condition: Card remains in pristine, uncirculated condition, factory-sealed by Panini with sharp corners and vibrant colors, maximizing long-term collectible value.
Category
Why Invest in This Category?
 
High-end sports trading cards have evolved into a globally recognized alternative asset class supported by professional grading, transparent auctions, and growing institutional demand, offering strong long-term appreciation and diversification benefits.
Asset Specifics
Why Invest in This Asset?
 

The Erling Haaland 2023-24 National Treasures Auto 1of1 Encased represents a singular opportunity to own the first and only autographed 1-of-1 card of one of football's most dominant strikers in his absolute prime. National Treasures is among Panini's top three autograph brands, known for its prestige, pedigree, and collector-grade releases. This card stands apart from typical modern releases because it has no parallels, no variations, and no substitutes. It is truly irreplaceable.

Key Highlight
Haaland has shattered records across the Premier League and Champions League, including fastest to 50 UCL goals, fastest to 100 EPL goals, and most goals in a World Cup qualifying campaign (16 goals, tied for all-time record). His market index surged 1.5x over six months, with comparable 1-of-1 cards achieving CAGRs exceeding 70.0%.

What elevates this asset is its timing and scarcity. Haaland is entering his World Cup debut following a historic qualifying run, and his scoring prowess positions him as a generational talent with sustained global attention. The card itself is factory encased, in uncirculated condition, with a perfectly scripted autograph and vibrant design that captures his commanding presence.

Acquired at €51,000.0 before fees, this piece offers a 6.3% buffer to verified market value prior to costs. With a total offering price of €57,850.0, investors gain exposure to a verified, museum-grade collectible with documented upside and institutional-grade custody in Bern.

For collectors and investors alike, this card combines historical significance, true 1-of-1 status, elite brand pedigree, and disciplined entry pricing in a market segment experiencing exceptional momentum.

Summary
Conclusion
 
Erling Haaland's 2023-24 National Treasures Auto 1of1 Encased combines elite athletic pedigree, absolute rarity, and irreplaceable provenance. As Haaland's first and only National Treasures autograph 1of1 without parallels, it captures a generational striker at his peak. Its uniqueness, historical significance, and strong market momentum make it a compelling collectible for investors seeking trophy-tier sports cards.

Expert

K3Y Asset

K3Y Asset is a hobby platform to tell stories in the hobby of card collecting in proper contexts and often in parallel to sports history and moments, while unlocking desirable attributes from key sports cards to elevate them into long term desirable assets.

Additional details

Asset ID
5056eba9-9a9c-4430-9d13-f8365a40d14a
Publisher
Panini America
Material
Premium cardstock (encased in plastic holder)
Publication year
2023–24
Card name
Erling Haaland 2023-24 National Treasures Auto 1of1 Encased (Haaland's first and only NT Auto 1of1)
PSA Grade
Non PSA grade

Documents

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Aurelio

CEO & Co-Founder

Erling Haaland 2023-24 National Treasures Auto 1of1 Encased