LEGO Ideas Bundle I
Main reasons to invest
Return Potential📈: An investment of €500 could reach an estimated value of €987 in 6 years.
Cost-to-Return Ratio⚖️: With just 2.4% annual total costs (July / August / September releases with no exit fees), your net profit could be 12.0% per year.
Scarcity Meets Fan-Driven Value 🧩: The LEGO Ideas Bundle I brings together two fan-endorsed creations with rich cultural appeal, intricate designs, and mechanical innovation. With both sets reaching end-of-life in 2025, scarcity is expected to strengthen pricing power, supported by AFOL demand and proven aftermarket trends. Competitive entry pricing, transparent valuation, and MISB condition further enhance its attractiveness as a balanced growth opportunity within the expanding collectible LEGO market.
Description
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Investment Horizon | 4 to 6 Years |
| Expected CAGR (Balanced) | 12.0% p.a. after fees |
| Optimistic CAGR | 19.1% p.a. after fees |
| Entry Discount | 1.6% below current market value |
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.65 (vs. SMI: 0.61) |
| Value at Risk (VaR) | 90% chance to exceed €18,000 |
| Standard Deviation | 18.2% |
| Risk Rating | B (8.0/10 – Moderate Risk) |
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4–6 Year Horizon: Targeted exit between 2029 and 2031 aligns with collector demand cycles, leveraging the expected post-EOL scarcity of the Motorised Lighthouse (21335) and Viking Village (21343).
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12.0% CAGR (Balanced): Derived from a 60% replication probability based on comparable LEGO Ideas sets, including 21340 Tales of the Space Age and 21338 A‑Frame Cabin.
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19.1% CAGR (Optimistic): Supported by historical outperformance of retired LEGO Ideas sets and rising AFOL-driven demand for limited-production models.
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1.6% Entry Discount: Acquired at €15,200, 1.6% below current market value, validated via toppreise.ch benchmarks and competitive app listings.
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Sharpe Ratio of 0.65: Reflects a solid risk-adjusted return profile, outperforming the 5-year SMI Sharpe ratio of 0.61 and aligning with the LEGO Ideas theme’s stability.
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90% VaR Threshold: The model forecasts a 90% probability the bundle’s value will exceed €18,000 after six years, providing robust downside protection against capital loss.
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18.2% Volatility: Represents moderate risk consistent with high-demand, limited-supply LEGO collectibles — balanced by strong historical price resilience post-retirement.
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B-Rated Risk (8.0/10): Backed by scarcity, proven aftermarket demand, and 15–30 historical sales data points, making this bundle an attractive opportunity for collectors seeking steady growth with limited downside exposure.
We will manage the exit on investors’ behalf. Depending on market conditions, sets may be sold wholesale or individually to collectors—whichever maximizes returns at the time of exit.
Limited-edition LEGO often appreciates sharply post-retirement. Broad collector bases, steady secondary-market liquidity, and low correlation with traditional assets make LEGO an attractive, comparatively low-risk alternative investment.
The LEGO Ideas Bundle I unites two exceptional fan-designed sets under the highly successful LEGO Ideas platform, known for limited production runs and community-voted authenticity. The Motorised Lighthouse (21335), released in 2022, showcases advanced engineering with a functional rotating light mechanism, combining architectural precision with maritime heritage. The Viking Village (21343), launched in 2023, revives Nordic cultural storytelling through intricate design elements and immersive detailing.
LEGO Ideas sets hold a unique position within the secondary market due to their community-driven selection process, resulting in consistently high demand among Adult Fans of LEGO (AFOLs). These two models benefit from upcoming end-of-life (EOL) status in December 2025, after which scarcity typically drives appreciation — a pattern supported by comparables like the Old Fishing Store (21310) and NASA Saturn V (21309), both of which achieved significant post-EOL price growth.
The bundle is positioned attractively with an entry price of €16,400, roughly 1.6% below current market value and competitive against toppreise.ch benchmarks. Storage and insurance are fully managed by Splint Invest, adding security and ensuring pristine MISB condition.
With strong AFOL demand, proven LEGO Ideas aftermarket performance, and a targeted 5–8 year horizon, this bundle offers a balanced exposure to long-term collectible appreciation. The combination of cultural relevance, functional innovation, and fan-driven authenticity enhances its liquidity and market positioning, making it a strategically structured opportunity for collectors seeking stable growth without speculative overreach.
The LEGO Ideas Bundle I delivers a compelling combination of design uniqueness, scarcity, and proven aftermarket appreciation. With managed storage, secured MISB condition, and competitive pricing, it positions collectors for steady long-term growth, supported by strong AFOL demand and transparent market benchmarks.
Expert
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