Active
Raghav Babbar, My Twin a Poser, 2021
Asset value
113.700 €
Issue price per Splint
50 €
Total number of Splints
2.274
Investment horizon in years
2 to 4
Return-to-Risk Assessment
8/10
Since launch July ‘25
+0.0%
Main reasons to invest
Return Potential📈: An investment of €500 could reach an estimated value of €1,095 in 4 years.
Cost-to-Return Ratio⚖️: With just 2.7% annual total costs (July / August releases with no exit fees), your net profit could be 21.1% per year.
Auction Prices 🔨: Over the last 36 months, Babbar's works have been selling for +1,000% above their high estimate. In addition, he has seen 100% of his work sold at auction reach prices over the high estimate.
Description
Investment Thesis 📝
Strong Return Opportunity Supported by Market Data
This investment in a Raghav Babbar work targets a 3–5 year horizon, backed by the artist’s rising profile and strong secondary market activity. Projections show a balanced-case exit of €249,115 (21.1% CAGR net of fees), with an optimistic-case outcome reaching €345,653 (31.2% CAGR). These estimates are grounded in sales performance of comparable Babbar paintings over the past two years, with a 70% confidence level supporting these return expectations. The above-market Sharpe ratio of 0.70 reinforces the asset’s strong, risk-adjusted return profile compared to the SMI benchmark (0.61).
Risk Profile and Volatility Benchmarking
Volatility analysis, benchmarked against leading contemporary artists like Banksy and the ArtPrice100 Index, indicates a standard deviation of 31.0%. Importantly, value-at-risk (VaR) modeling suggests a 75% probability that the work’s value will exceed €147,900 after five years. This demonstrates meaningful downside protection, particularly in the context of art investments where historical sales consistency is often limited. With 11 relevant sales data points from 2020–2024, the risk framework is both timely and robust.
Entry with Validated Fair Value
The acquisition price has been independently validated as attractive, positioned ~10% below comparable works sold through galleries and nearly 70% below recent auction results for Babbar. This creates a significant margin of safety and enhances long-term return potential. With pricing misalignment between primary market placements and auction outcomes, the entry point offers a compelling opportunity to access a rapidly ascending artist with strong institutional momentum.
Strong Return Opportunity Supported by Market Data
This investment in a Raghav Babbar work targets a 3–5 year horizon, backed by the artist’s rising profile and strong secondary market activity. Projections show a balanced-case exit of €249,115 (21.1% CAGR net of fees), with an optimistic-case outcome reaching €345,653 (31.2% CAGR). These estimates are grounded in sales performance of comparable Babbar paintings over the past two years, with a 70% confidence level supporting these return expectations. The above-market Sharpe ratio of 0.70 reinforces the asset’s strong, risk-adjusted return profile compared to the SMI benchmark (0.61).
Risk Profile and Volatility Benchmarking
Volatility analysis, benchmarked against leading contemporary artists like Banksy and the ArtPrice100 Index, indicates a standard deviation of 31.0%. Importantly, value-at-risk (VaR) modeling suggests a 75% probability that the work’s value will exceed €147,900 after five years. This demonstrates meaningful downside protection, particularly in the context of art investments where historical sales consistency is often limited. With 11 relevant sales data points from 2020–2024, the risk framework is both timely and robust.
Entry with Validated Fair Value
The acquisition price has been independently validated as attractive, positioned ~10% below comparable works sold through galleries and nearly 70% below recent auction results for Babbar. This creates a significant margin of safety and enhances long-term return potential. With pricing misalignment between primary market placements and auction outcomes, the entry point offers a compelling opportunity to access a rapidly ascending artist with strong institutional momentum.
Exit Options at Maturity 🚪
We manage the exit strategy on behalf of our investors to secure the best possible outcome based on prevailing market conditions. Depending on the situation, the painting will be sold either privately to a collector or offered as a single lot in a contemporary art auction. An auction will be considered when the price trajectory allows for a minimum bid that matches market value and strong demand for the artist's work exists. Both options are carefully evaluated, and we pursue the one that maximizes returns for our investors.
We manage the exit strategy on behalf of our investors to secure the best possible outcome based on prevailing market conditions. Depending on the situation, the painting will be sold either privately to a collector or offered as a single lot in a contemporary art auction. An auction will be considered when the price trajectory allows for a minimum bid that matches market value and strong demand for the artist's work exists. Both options are carefully evaluated, and we pursue the one that maximizes returns for our investors.
Why Invest in This Category? 🎨
Art has been collected for centuries for its cultural, emotional, intellectual, political, and financial value. Investing in emerging artists offers a blend of financial potential and personal satisfaction, making it an attractive option for both new and experienced collectors.
Art has been collected for centuries for its cultural, emotional, intellectual, political, and financial value. Investing in emerging artists offers a blend of financial potential and personal satisfaction, making it an attractive option for both new and experienced collectors.
Why Invest in This Asset? 💎
Born in Rohtak near Delhi, Raghav Babbar merges his Indian heritage with mid-century British painting techniques in his figurative work. He is known for his expressive use of oil paint and richly textured portraits that emphasize the physical presence and emotion of his subjects—often depicting ordinary workers in natural light with dramatic shadows.
Influenced by travels in Uttarakhand and Sikkim, Babbar studied at Lasalle College of the Arts in Singapore and now lives in London, where he is completing an MFA at the Royal College of Art.
One of the most compelling reasons to consider investing in Raghav Babbar’s work is his consistent track record of exceeding auction expectations. His artworks have achieved, on average, final prices 11x above initial estimates. For example, "The Coal Seller," initially estimated at €22,543, fetched €541,033 at Sotheby’s. Moreover, 100% of his auctioned works have exceeded their high estimates, with total sales volume since 2022 reaching £2,419,222.
Born in Rohtak near Delhi, Raghav Babbar merges his Indian heritage with mid-century British painting techniques in his figurative work. He is known for his expressive use of oil paint and richly textured portraits that emphasize the physical presence and emotion of his subjects—often depicting ordinary workers in natural light with dramatic shadows.
Influenced by travels in Uttarakhand and Sikkim, Babbar studied at Lasalle College of the Arts in Singapore and now lives in London, where he is completing an MFA at the Royal College of Art.
One of the most compelling reasons to consider investing in Raghav Babbar’s work is his consistent track record of exceeding auction expectations. His artworks have achieved, on average, final prices 11x above initial estimates. For example, "The Coal Seller," initially estimated at €22,543, fetched €541,033 at Sotheby’s. Moreover, 100% of his auctioned works have exceeded their high estimates, with total sales volume since 2022 reaching £2,419,222.
Market Timing Context ⏳
Emerging artists often sell at significantly lower prices than established names. As an artist’s reputation grows, the value of their works can rise substantially—offering considerable returns for early investors.
Emerging artists often sell at significantly lower prices than established names. As an artist’s reputation grows, the value of their works can rise substantially—offering considerable returns for early investors.
Conclusion 🎯
Investing in Raghav Babbar’s work is not only a cultural appreciation but also a strategic financial decision. Thanks to his strong auction track record, this asset combines passion with performance, offering returns that can meet or exceed expectations.
Investing in Raghav Babbar’s work is not only a cultural appreciation but also a strategic financial decision. Thanks to his strong auction track record, this asset combines passion with performance, offering returns that can meet or exceed expectations.
Expert
Maddox Advisory
The art investment advisors of Maddox bring together years of specialist knowledge and practical experience with objective market analysis to offer their clients quality advice and consistent returns.
Additional details
Asset ID
6ea266db-8054-452f-a64e-16c348495304
Name
My Twin a Poser
Artist
Raghav Babbar
Publication year
2021
Size
127 x 152.4 cm
Signature
Yes, on the back
Material
Oil on Canvas
