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Sealed Pokémon Neo Genesis 1. Edition Booster Box
Asset value
68.450,00 €
Earning potential
28.19%
Splints left
0/1.369
Investment horizon in years
4-6
Return-to-Risk Assessment
7/10
Performance since release
+0.0%
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Main reasons to invest
Return Potential📈: An investment of €500 could reach an estimated value of €2,219 in 6 years.
Cost-to-Return Ratio⚖️: With just 2.0% annual total costs, your net profit could be 28.2% per year.
A Milestone Worth Holding 🎂: As Pokémon approaches its jubilee, collectors are reminded of the world’s biggest franchise and its enduring cultural impact. Neo Genesis, with fewer print runs than later eras, offers true rarity. A sealed 1st Edition box becomes not only an investment but also a meaningful way to honor this legacy.
Description
Investment Thesis 📝
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Investment Horizon | 4–6 Years |
| Expected CAGR (Balanced) | 28.2% p.a. after fees |
| Optimistic CAGR | 40.2% p.a. after fees |
| Entry Position | ~8.5% below fair value (pre-fees) |
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.66 (vs. SMI: 0.61) |
| Value at Risk (VaR) | 87% probability to exceed entry price after 6 years |
| Standard Deviation | 38.9% |
| Risk Rating | B (7.2/10 – Moderate Risk) |
- 4–6 year horizon: Targets peak scarcity and demand cycles for vintage Neo-era Pokémon sealed booster boxes.
- 28.2% CAGR (balanced): Based on capturing 65% of the observed 61% CAGR since April 2022.
- 40.2% CAGR (optimistic): Reflects stronger upside if sealed Neo-era scarcity accelerates further.
- ~8.5% entry discount: Entry priced below calculated fair value prior to fees, providing valuation discipline.
- Sharpe ratio 0.66: Indicates above-average risk-adjusted performance relative to equity benchmarks.
- 87% VaR threshold: High probability of capital preservation over a six-year holding period.
- 38.9% volatility: Consistent with high-demand vintage TCG assets, mitigated by sealed rarity.
- B-rated risk profile: Combines strong return potential with limited but meaningful market data (5 verified sales).
Valuation Summary 📝
To ensure the competitiveness of the investment, we conducted a thorough verification of the purchase price by analyzing recent transactions and current market values on the secondary card market. Our analysis confirmed that the price offered, inclusive of all associated fees, is competitive. To estimate the potential ROI, we based our analysis on the historical price development of all ex era Pokémon booster boxes. For the conservative scenario, we assumed the value of the displays would grow at the rate of Swiss inflation, taking a defensive approach. In the balanced scenario, we applied 70% of the average price increase for this display over the past three years. Finally, in the ambitious scenario, we applied 90% of the average price increase for this display over the past three years.
To ensure the competitiveness of the investment, we conducted a thorough verification of the purchase price by analyzing recent transactions and current market values on the secondary card market. Our analysis confirmed that the price offered, inclusive of all associated fees, is competitive. To estimate the potential ROI, we based our analysis on the historical price development of all ex era Pokémon booster boxes. For the conservative scenario, we assumed the value of the displays would grow at the rate of Swiss inflation, taking a defensive approach. In the balanced scenario, we applied 70% of the average price increase for this display over the past three years. Finally, in the ambitious scenario, we applied 90% of the average price increase for this display over the past three years.
Exit Options at Maturity 🚪
We will manage the exit strategy on behalf of our investors, ensuring the best possible outcome based on market conditions at the time. Depending on the value of the card and the prevailing market situation, we can either sell the card privately to a collector or take it to auction. Both options are carefully considered, and we will choose the one that maximizes the return for our investors.
We will manage the exit strategy on behalf of our investors, ensuring the best possible outcome based on market conditions at the time. Depending on the value of the card and the prevailing market situation, we can either sell the card privately to a collector or take it to auction. Both options are carefully considered, and we will choose the one that maximizes the return for our investors.
Why Invest in This Category? 🎨
Investing in Pokémon cards is particularly timely with the franchise's upcoming jubilee, expected to drive heightened interest and value appreciation in rare and nostalgic collectibles.
Investing in Pokémon cards is particularly timely with the franchise's upcoming jubilee, expected to drive heightened interest and value appreciation in rare and nostalgic collectibles.
Why Invest in This Asset? 💎
The Pokémon Neo Genesis 1st Edition display is one of the most coveted sealed products in the trading card world. Released in 2000, it marked the beginning of the Neo era, introducing iconic second-generation Pokémon such as Lugia, Typhlosion, and Feraligatr. Its historical significance is matched only by its scarcity. Most of these boxes were opened in the early 2000s, and very few remain today in sealed, investment-grade condition.
What makes this particular asset uniquely appealing is its sealed status. As collectors become more sophisticated, sealed displays offer a layer of protection, authenticity, and potential for appreciation unmatched by single cards. The box contains 36 unopened booster packs, which themselves are increasingly difficult to find, creating compounded scarcity that only intensifies over time.
Moreover, Neo Genesis has cultural and market relevance. Lugia’s popularity, the “holo swirl” era, and the set’s print-run issues—especially for 1st Edition—have made it a legendary release. The market for vintage Pokémon has exploded post-pandemic, and Neo Genesis stands tall among the top-tier sealed products now trading hands in the five-figure range.
As the Pokémon collector base expands globally and sealed boxes become even rarer, demand continues to outstrip supply. This creates a fertile ground for long-term appreciation. A sealed Neo Genesis 1st Edition display is no longer just a collector’s dream—it’s a serious alternative asset, protected by time, nostalgia, and scarcity.
The Pokémon Neo Genesis 1st Edition display is one of the most coveted sealed products in the trading card world. Released in 2000, it marked the beginning of the Neo era, introducing iconic second-generation Pokémon such as Lugia, Typhlosion, and Feraligatr. Its historical significance is matched only by its scarcity. Most of these boxes were opened in the early 2000s, and very few remain today in sealed, investment-grade condition.
What makes this particular asset uniquely appealing is its sealed status. As collectors become more sophisticated, sealed displays offer a layer of protection, authenticity, and potential for appreciation unmatched by single cards. The box contains 36 unopened booster packs, which themselves are increasingly difficult to find, creating compounded scarcity that only intensifies over time.
Moreover, Neo Genesis has cultural and market relevance. Lugia’s popularity, the “holo swirl” era, and the set’s print-run issues—especially for 1st Edition—have made it a legendary release. The market for vintage Pokémon has exploded post-pandemic, and Neo Genesis stands tall among the top-tier sealed products now trading hands in the five-figure range.
As the Pokémon collector base expands globally and sealed boxes become even rarer, demand continues to outstrip supply. This creates a fertile ground for long-term appreciation. A sealed Neo Genesis 1st Edition display is no longer just a collector’s dream—it’s a serious alternative asset, protected by time, nostalgia, and scarcity.
Conclusion 🎯
With its unmatched scarcity, sealed integrity, and deep-rooted nostalgic value, the Pokémon Neo Genesis 1st Edition display stands as a compelling, culturally iconic investment. Coupled with strong historical performance and limited supply, it offers a rare opportunity to own a high-potential asset in a maturing and increasingly global collector market.
With its unmatched scarcity, sealed integrity, and deep-rooted nostalgic value, the Pokémon Neo Genesis 1st Edition display stands as a compelling, culturally iconic investment. Coupled with strong historical performance and limited supply, it offers a rare opportunity to own a high-potential asset in a maturing and increasingly global collector market.
Expert
CollectorsDeal
Collectorsdeal was born from a true passion for collecting and play. What started as a personal hobby quickly grew into a joyful project.
Additional details
Asset ID
784c2eb1-afc2-41ca-8d02-b82872dfcd86
Trading Card Franchise
Pokémon
Era
Neo
Number of Cards per Pack
36 sealed packs (each with 11 cards)
Set
Neo Genesis 1st edition
Publication year
2000
PSA Grade
n/a sealed in mint condition
