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Lamine Yamal 2024 Topps Employee Merlin EURO Debut Orange Refractor Auto 25/25 PSA 8

Asset value
79.000 €
Issue price per Splint
50 €
Total number of Splints
1.580
Investment horizon in years
3 to 5
Return-to-Risk Assessment
8/10
Since launch September ‘25
+0.0%

Main reasons to invest

  • Return Potential📈: An investment of €500 could reach an estimated value of €1,917 in 5 years.

  • Cost-to-Return Ratio⚖️: With just 2.6% annual total costs (September releases with no exit fees), your net profit could be 30.6% per year.

  • A Future Icon in Your Hands 🌟:  The 25/25 serial, Spain-colored refractor, and debut autograph immortalize a moment of greatness for the youngest-ever EURO champion. For collectors, it’s a time capsule of potential, performance, and prestige — in a form that won't be repeated.

Description

Investment Thesis 📝
 
Metric Value
Investment Horizon 3–5 Years
Expected CAGR (Balanced) 30.8% p.a. after fees
Ambitious CAGR 47.4% p.a. after fees
Entry Discount ~2.2% below fair market value
Sharpe Ratio 0.86 (vs. SMI: 0.61)
Value at Risk (VaR) 90% chance to exceed €86,800
Standard Deviation 36.4%
Risk Rating B (7.2/10 – Moderate Risk)
 
  • 3–5 Year Horizon: Targets peak market cycles during Yamal’s prime development years and growing global fanbase.

  • 30.8% CAGR (Balanced): Based on adjusted growth from comparable Yamal rookie sales and validated premium multipliers.

  • 47.4% CAGR (Optimistic): Reflects potential upside if Yamal sustains historic trajectory and collectible demand accelerates.

  • ~2.2% Discount to Fair Value: Entry price sits slightly below estimated market value of €80,793 after applying scarcity premiums.

  • Sharpe Ratio of 0.86: Strong risk-adjusted return relative to volatility, outperforming the SMI benchmark (0.61).

  • 90% VaR Threshold: Model indicates nine-in-ten probability of exceeding €86,800 after 5 years, offering solid downside protection.

  • Standard Deviation (36.4%): Typical volatility for ultra-rare football cards, requiring longer holding periods.

  • Risk Rating “B”: Moderate risk profile suitable for collectors seeking high-reward, premium-tier sports assets.

Exit Options at Maturity 🚪
We will manage the exit strategy in collaboration with our expert K3Y Asset on behalf of our investors, ensuring the best possible outcome based on market conditions at the time. Depending on the prevailing market situation, the card will be sold to a private collector or offered at an auction. An auction is considered if the price has developed to the point where the minimum bid matches the market value and there is high demand for works by the artist. Both options are carefully considered, and we will choose the one that maximizes the return for our investors.
Why Invest in This Category? ⚽️
Sports cards are an asset class that has enjoyed one of the highest multipliers in growth over the last 5 to 15 years among alternative investment vehicles. Sports cards have strong fundamentals in bringing high-valued licenses, age-tested brands, universal passion for sports, and transcendent talents together in innovative concepts.
Why Invest in This Asset? 💎

This card combines scarcity, symbolism, and timing. It is an Employee Exclusive — a category known for being exceptionally rare — and carries the final serial number 25/25, which aligns with the year 2025 and Christmas, often symbolic in Topps releases. The card features Yamal’s debut on-card autograph in his new signature style, making it a historic artifact in the hobby.

 

It’s not just rarity: the release intersects Merlin’s EURO debut, Spain national team representation, and a refractor finish in matching color, all presented in PSA 8 condition. The fair market value (€80,793) is supported by a calculated multiplier based on card rarity (/25 vs. /35) and symbolic numbering, making the current entry price (€79,000 post-fees) a value-driven opportunity.

 

Yamal's on-field performance is equally staggering — EURO 2024 champion, La Liga treble winner, and youngest player to hit major milestones across La Liga, UCL, and international tournaments. His market is booming, with comparables like Optic Gold Vinyl ($250k) and Padparadscha Auto 1/1 ($400–500k) validating demand.

 

Backed by 29 sales data points and a premium designation as his autograph debut in a new era, this card’s price and status make it a cornerstone for collectors seeking cultural significance, market momentum, and future upside.

Conclusion 🎯
The Yamal 2024 Topps Employee Merlin is a high-pedigree collectible — rare, validated, and timed perfectly with the athlete’s rise. It delivers on scarcity, pricing, and emotional impact. For seasoned collectors or strategic investors, it’s a uniquely complete package.

Expert

K3Y Asset

K3Y Asset is a hobby platform to tell stories in the hobby of card collecting in proper contexts and often in parallel to sports history and moments, while unlocking desirable attributes from key sports cards to elevate them into long term desirable assets.

Additional details

Asset ID
78c83b60-4880-4352-a37b-f8edebd16a15
Publisher
Topps / Fanatics
Card name
Lamine Yamal 2024 Topps Employee Merlin EURO Debut Orange Refractor Auto
Publication year
2024
Edition number (i.e. 5 of 50)
25 of 25
Material
Cardboard, with refractor front surface and ink.
Condition
Graded 8 by PSA (Professional Sports Authenticator)

Documents

Aurelio Image CEO

Aurelio

CEO & Co-Founder