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Pokémon, XY Primal Clash (sealed Case with 6 booster boxes)

Asset value
18.350 €
Earning potential
26.9%
Splints left
0/367
Investment horizon in years
4-6
Return-to-Risk Assessment
7/10
Performance since release
+0.0%

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Main reasons to invest

  • Return potential📈: An investment of €500 could reach an estimated value of €2,091 in 5 years.

  • Cost-to-return ratio⚖️: After deducting 2.3% in annual total costs, your net return could reach 26.9% per year.

     

  • A snapshot of XY: This sealed case preserves a full piece of mid-2010s Pokémon history. For collectors, intact cases are rare and often become centrepieces because they hold the original artwork, the pack experience and the excitement of the era. Owning a full case means owning a moment in time that very few collectors can still access.

Description

Investment Thesis: 📝
 
Metric Value
Investment Horizon 4 - 6 Years
Expected CAGR (Balanced) 26.9% p.a. after fees
Ambitious CAGR 44.4% p.a. after fees
Entry Basis ~9.8% discount before fees
Sharpe Ratio 0.70 (vs. SMI: 0.61)
Value at Risk (VaR) 88.4% chance to exceed €18,350 after 6 years
Standard Deviation 38.9%
Risk Rating B (7.2/10 - Moderate Risk)
 
  • 4-6 year horizon: Matches XY-era appreciation cycles and the tightening supply of mid-2010s sealed product.
  • 26.9% CAGR (balanced): Applies 25% of the exceptional 118.6%CAGR observed across Primal Clash boxes in the last two years.
  • 44.4% CAGR (optimistic): Supported by sustained demand for XY nostalgia-era sets and accelerating scarcity.
  • ~9.8% entry discount: Based on combined PriceCharting and eBay averages.
  • Sharpe ratio of 0.70: Competitive vs. the 5-year SMI benchmark of 0.61.
  • 88.4% VaR threshold: High likelihood of exceeding €18,350 within six years.
  • Standard deviation (38.9%): Typical for mid-vintage Pokémon sealed boxes.
  • Risk rating “B”: Reflects strong upside supported by rarity and category momentum.
Why Invest in This Category? 
Pokémon sealed cases are among the most reliable assets in the hobby due to transparent pricing, long-term collector demand and extremely low surviving supply. XY-era product has entered its nostalgia cycle and benefits from renewed interest in mid-2010s artwork, competitive play and franchise milestones. Sealed cases have an added scarcity premium because far fewer remain intact compared to single booster boxes.
Why Invest in This Asset? 💎

This sealed XY Primal Clash case gives you exposure to one of the rarest formats from the XY era. A case with six untouched boxes is much harder to find than single boosters. Most cases were opened years ago, so surviving units are limited. This scarcity supports long-term value.

The growth pattern is clear. Verified sales from 2023 to 2025 show strong price increases for individual boxes. Even when we apply only a conservative part of that growth, the balanced expectation reaches 26.93% per year and the optimistic case reaches 44.35%. This follows what we often see in sealed mid-vintage products with shrinking supply and rising nostalgia.

The valuation is supported by real market data. The entry point at €18,350 sits below combined averages from PriceCharting and eBay. This helps build confidence that the case is priced fairly at the start.

Liquidity is solid. There are 36 recorded sales for individual boxes in the last two years, which shows an active market and reliable price signals. Case-level supply is much thinner, which gives full sealed cases an extra level of desirability for advanced collectors.

The set itself has strong appeal. Primal Clash offers recognisable artwork, primal Pokémon and a design that has aged well. As collectors return to XY products, complete sealed cases stand out as long-term items with steady demand.

Together, these points make the case a clear medium-term opportunity: real scarcity, strong historic growth data, a fair starting point at €18,350 and a collector base that remains active.

Conclusion 🎯
The Primal Clash sealed case combines category scarcity, strong price momentum and an attractive entry point. With a robust risk-return profile, high liquidity and sustained collector demand, this case stands out as a compelling opportunity within the mid-vintage Pokémon sealed segment over a 4-6 year horizon.

Expert

Collectomat

Collectomat GmbH mainly sells trading cards in ultra-modern vending machines. In addition to classics such as Pokémon, the vending machines also offer boosters from One Piece, Disney, Sport, YuGiOh! and other formats.

Additional details

Asset ID
9c24c2a8-8d9c-4ac8-acc4-68dd0450f3f3
Trading Card Franchise
Pokémon
Era
XY (Primal Clash)
Number of Booster Boxes
6 booster boxes (1 sealed case)
Number of Cards per Pack
10 cards per pack
Publication year
2015
PSA Grade
sealed product

Documents

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Aurelio

CEO & Co-Founder