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Mehdi Ghadyanloo, Under The Blue Sky, 2020

Asset value
100.640,34 €
Earning potential
20.76%
Splints left
862/1.886
Investment horizon in years
2-4
Return-to-Risk Assessment
6/10
Performance since release
+6.7%

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Main reasons to invest

  • Return Potential: An investment of €500 could reach an estimated value of €1,063 in 4 years.

  • Cost-to-Return Ratio: With just 2.7% annual total costs, your net profit could be 20.8% per year.

  • Institutional Recognition: Museum exhibitions and top-tier gallery support underpin demand, reinforced by 45 auction results, 80% sell-through, a €278k series record, a 9.0% entry price buffer, and 20.8% annual return potential.

Description

Investment Case
 
Metric Value
Investment Horizon 2–4 Years (Target exit: 2028–2030)
Expected CAGR (Balanced) 20.8% p.a. after fees
Optimistic CAGR 26.9% p.a. after fees
Entry Basis 9.0% price-buffer to market after fees
Sharpe Ratio 0.69
Value at Risk (VaR) 91.2% probability of exceeding initial investment after 4 years
Standard Deviation 31.0%
Number of Sales Points 38 comparable sales
Risk Rating B, Moderate (high volatility, strong liquidity)

 

  • 20.8% Net ROI p.a. (Balanced): 75% probability of achieving the CAGR from 08/2016 - 08/2026 of 24% based on primary market price developments for this artist.
  • 26.9% Net ROI p.a. (Ambitious): 100% probability of achieving the CAGR from 08/2016 - 08/2026 of 24% based on primary market price developments for this artist.
Category
Why Invest in This Category?
 

Investing in art combines cultural relevance, scarcity, and long-term value appreciation into a resilient alternative asset class. The global art market reached over USD 65 billion in annual sales, supported by a deep base of collectors, institutions, and museums. Historically, blue-chip and well-curated contemporary art segments have delivered ~8–10% long-term annual returns, with select emerging artists outperforming during career inflection points. Art benefits from low correlation to traditional markets, tangible ownership, and finite supply—particularly for unique works. Strong gallery representation, exhibition history, and documented provenance further enhance liquidity, price transparency, and downside protection for investors.

Asset Specifics
Why Invest in This Asset?
 

Mehdi Ghadyanloo's "Under The Blue Sky" (2020) represents a rare opportunity to invest in one of the most compelling contemporary artists to emerge from the Middle East. Ghadyanloo has transitioned from creating over 100 monumental murals across Tehran to becoming the first Iranian artist since 1979 to receive major public commissions in both Iran and the United States. His distinctive visual language, combining surrealism, trompe-l'oeil illusion, and minimalist architecture, has drawn comparisons to masters like Magritte and de Chirico while remaining uniquely his own.

Key Highlight
This large-scale signature work offers exposure to an artist with proven institutional momentum, including representation by Almine Rech, exhibitions with Gagosian, and a 2024 solo museum show at Shanghai's Long Museum, all while acquired with a 17.9% price buffer to market prior to fees.

What makes this investment particularly attractive is the combination of strong historical performance (23.9% CAGR from 2016 to 2026) and significant room for continued appreciation. Large-scale, museum-quality Ghadyanloo paintings with exhibition history are increasingly scarce on the secondary market as institutional collections and established private collectors acquire his strongest works.

Growing demand from collectors across Europe, Asia, and the Middle East, combined with limited availability of prime works, creates favorable conditions for long-term value appreciation. Artists who gain sustained museum support and top-tier gallery representation historically demonstrate more reliable appreciation than those driven solely by speculation.

For investors, this piece offers disciplined entry pricing into a rapidly maturing global market, backed by institutional validation, gallery support, and a distinctive artistic vision that continues to resonate internationally.

Summary
Conclusion
 
Mehdi Ghadyanloo's Under The Blue Sky combines institutional recognition, scarcity, and cross-cultural appeal. As a museum-quality work by an artist with growing global demand and top-tier gallery representation, it offers compelling long-term potential. Its surreal vision, limited availability, and proven market momentum make it an attractive proposition for discerning collectors and investors alike.

Expert

OPERA GALLERY

Founded in Singapore in 1994, Opera Gallery has forged, over its 30 years, a network of 16 galleries worldwide including London, Paris, New York, Geneva, Hong Kong, and Seoul, establishing itself as one of the leading global players within the international art market. Headed by Gilles Dyan, Opera Gallery specialises in post-war French art, and in Modern and Contemporary European, American, and Asian art. In addition, the gallery represents international emerging artists such as Andy Denzler, Anthony James and Gustavo Nazareno. and more established contemporary artists such as Ron Arad, Manolo Valdés, and Anselm Reyle.

Additional details

Asset ID
a4f4a0f4-5662-42ea-8644-31d7fb6f168e
Name
Under The Blue Sky
Year
2020
Size
120 x 120 cm
Artist
Mehdi Ghadyanloo
Signature
Yes
Material
Oil on canvas

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