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Sealed Fossil 1st Edition Booster Box
Asset value
17.800 €
Issue price per Splint
50 €
Total number of Splints
356
Investment horizon in years
4 to 6
Return-to-Risk Assessment
8/10
Since launch June ‘25
+0.0%
Main reasons to invest
Return Potential📈: An investment of 500 EUR could reach an estimated value of 2,197 in 6 years.
Cost-to-Return Ratio⚖️: With just 3.9% annual total costs (including exit fees), your net profit could be 28.0% per year.
Exceptional Rarity Meets Investment Potential 🔍: The Fossil 1st Edition Booster Box is one of the rarest sealed Pokémon products from the vintage WotC era, released in 1999 and increasingly difficult to find in untouched condition. With sealed boxes being opened, graded, or lost over time, surviving specimens are vanishingly scarce. This built-in scarcity—combined with iconic cards and high collector demand—creates a uniquely compelling opportunity for long-term capital appreciation.
Description
Investment Thesis 📝
Strong Return Opportunity Supported by Market Data
This investment is modeled over a 4–6 year horizon, leveraging historical growth data and current demand trends for vintage Pokémon TCG sealed products. Comparable products have recently shown annual growth rates exceeding 50%. By conservatively applying only 60% of that growth to this asset, the projected net CAGR remains strong at 28.0%. In an optimistic case, it may reach 38.0% annually. With a Sharpe ratio of 0.80, this investment offers a compelling balance of risk and return.
Risk Profile and Volatility Benchmarking
The Fossil 1st Edition Booster Box exhibits a modeled volatility of 37.4%, based on market activity for comparable sealed Pokémon products. According to our Value at Risk (VaR) model, there’s a 75% chance the asset will exceed €23,600 in value after 5 years. Historical drawdowns of up to 51% reinforce the importance of a long-term holding strategy to mitigate short-term volatility and maximize upside potential.
Entry with Validated Fair Value
Fair value was determined using sales data from eBay, Zardocards.com, Zadoys.ch, and Cardmarket, covering 22 transactions between 2024–2025. Our offer price is 3% below the retail benchmark, providing an attractive entry with margin of safety and upward revaluation potential.
Rarity, Exclusivity, and Collector Validation
Released in 1999 as the third English-language Pokémon TCG expansion, the Fossil 1st Edition Booster Box is a rare and highly sought-after collector’s item. Featuring iconic cards like Dragonite and Gengar, it holds enduring cultural and investment appeal. Shrinking supply—driven by grading and opened packs—intensifies scarcity and underpins its blue-chip status in the vintage Pokémon market.
Strong Return Opportunity Supported by Market Data
This investment is modeled over a 4–6 year horizon, leveraging historical growth data and current demand trends for vintage Pokémon TCG sealed products. Comparable products have recently shown annual growth rates exceeding 50%. By conservatively applying only 60% of that growth to this asset, the projected net CAGR remains strong at 28.0%. In an optimistic case, it may reach 38.0% annually. With a Sharpe ratio of 0.80, this investment offers a compelling balance of risk and return.
Risk Profile and Volatility Benchmarking
The Fossil 1st Edition Booster Box exhibits a modeled volatility of 37.4%, based on market activity for comparable sealed Pokémon products. According to our Value at Risk (VaR) model, there’s a 75% chance the asset will exceed €23,600 in value after 5 years. Historical drawdowns of up to 51% reinforce the importance of a long-term holding strategy to mitigate short-term volatility and maximize upside potential.
Entry with Validated Fair Value
Fair value was determined using sales data from eBay, Zardocards.com, Zadoys.ch, and Cardmarket, covering 22 transactions between 2024–2025. Our offer price is 3% below the retail benchmark, providing an attractive entry with margin of safety and upward revaluation potential.
Rarity, Exclusivity, and Collector Validation
Released in 1999 as the third English-language Pokémon TCG expansion, the Fossil 1st Edition Booster Box is a rare and highly sought-after collector’s item. Featuring iconic cards like Dragonite and Gengar, it holds enduring cultural and investment appeal. Shrinking supply—driven by grading and opened packs—intensifies scarcity and underpins its blue-chip status in the vintage Pokémon market.
Exit Options at Maturity 🚪
We will manage the exit strategy on behalf of our investors, ensuring the best possible outcome based on market conditions at the time. Depending on the value of the card and the prevailing market situation, we can either sell the card privately to a collector or take it to auction. Both options are carefully considered, and we will choose the one that maximizes the return for our investors.
We will manage the exit strategy on behalf of our investors, ensuring the best possible outcome based on market conditions at the time. Depending on the value of the card and the prevailing market situation, we can either sell the card privately to a collector or take it to auction. Both options are carefully considered, and we will choose the one that maximizes the return for our investors.
Why Invest in This Category? 🧢
Investing in Pokémon cards is particularly timely with the franchise’s upcoming jubilee, expected to drive heightened interest and value appreciation in rare and nostalgic collectibles.
Investing in Pokémon cards is particularly timely with the franchise’s upcoming jubilee, expected to drive heightened interest and value appreciation in rare and nostalgic collectibles.
Why Invest in This Asset? 💎
The Fossil 1st Edition Booster Box is one of the most iconic sealed products in Pokémon’s history. Released in 1999 as the third English-language expansion, it features 36 booster packs, each containing 11 cards—including one guaranteed rare or holo. That’s 396 total cards per box and up to 36 rares. Notably, the set introduces fan-favorite characters such as Dragonite, Gengar, Lapras, and Aerodactyl—some of the most collectible cards in the TCG universe. The 1st Edition stamp on each pack marks this as the original print run, significantly rarer and more valuable than unlimited or shadowless editions.
As collectors open or grade their packs, the number of sealed Fossil boxes shrinks, intensifying scarcity and increasing long-term value. This particular set stands out not only for its card artwork and nostalgia, but also for its enduring place in pop culture. It’s often considered one of the final “vintage era” boxes before Pokémon began expanding aggressively in the 2000s. With the upcoming 30th anniversary of Pokémon in 2026, media buzz and collector interest are expected to spike, positioning this asset perfectly for exit before or around 2030.
Whether you’re a collector or investor, the Fossil 1st Edition Booster Box offers a unique opportunity to own a tangible piece of TCG history with built-in scarcity and wide emotional appeal.
The Fossil 1st Edition Booster Box is one of the most iconic sealed products in Pokémon’s history. Released in 1999 as the third English-language expansion, it features 36 booster packs, each containing 11 cards—including one guaranteed rare or holo. That’s 396 total cards per box and up to 36 rares. Notably, the set introduces fan-favorite characters such as Dragonite, Gengar, Lapras, and Aerodactyl—some of the most collectible cards in the TCG universe. The 1st Edition stamp on each pack marks this as the original print run, significantly rarer and more valuable than unlimited or shadowless editions.
As collectors open or grade their packs, the number of sealed Fossil boxes shrinks, intensifying scarcity and increasing long-term value. This particular set stands out not only for its card artwork and nostalgia, but also for its enduring place in pop culture. It’s often considered one of the final “vintage era” boxes before Pokémon began expanding aggressively in the 2000s. With the upcoming 30th anniversary of Pokémon in 2026, media buzz and collector interest are expected to spike, positioning this asset perfectly for exit before or around 2030.
Whether you’re a collector or investor, the Fossil 1st Edition Booster Box offers a unique opportunity to own a tangible piece of TCG history with built-in scarcity and wide emotional appeal.
Conclusion 🎯
With a projected net CAGR of 28%, a validated entry below market value, and strong collector-driven demand, the Fossil 1st Edition Booster Box represents a compelling investment opportunity. Its rarity, historical significance, and upcoming cultural milestones provide robust tailwinds. While short-term volatility may occur, a long-term horizon and strategic exit planning position this asset for substantial capital appreciation and emotional fulfillment.
With a projected net CAGR of 28%, a validated entry below market value, and strong collector-driven demand, the Fossil 1st Edition Booster Box represents a compelling investment opportunity. Its rarity, historical significance, and upcoming cultural milestones provide robust tailwinds. While short-term volatility may occur, a long-term horizon and strategic exit planning position this asset for substantial capital appreciation and emotional fulfillment.
Expert
Collectomat
Collectomat GmbH mainly sells trading cards in ultra-modern vending machines. In addition to classics such as Pokémon, the vending machines also offer boosters from One Piece, Disney, Sport, YuGiOh! and other formats.
Additional details
Asset ID
bad4230d-a900-45bf-b368-9b8aec8a5e64
Trading Card Franchise
Pokémon
Era
Wizards of the Coast (WotC)
Set
Fossil 1st Edition
Publication year
1999
PSA Grade
n/a - complete booster box sealed
Number of cards
396 (36 Boosterpacks with 11 cards each)
