Active
One Piece, Monkey D. Luffy Red Manga, PSA 10
Asset value
27.900,00 €
Earning potential
33.4%
Splints left
553/558
Investment horizon in years
2-4
Return-to-Risk Assessment
8/10
Performance since release
+0.0%
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Main reasons to invest
Return Potential📈: An investment of €500 could reach an estimated value of €1,583 in 4 years.
Cost-to-Return Ratio⚖️: With just 2.7% annual total costs, your net profit could be 33.4% per year.
Early-Mover Advantage 🚀: This is why early exposure matters. While One Piece is already the biggest manga franchise in the world, its trading card market is still at an early stage compared to Pokémon. With only 145 PSA 10 copies, this card offers rare access before broader market repricing and mainstream adoption fully set in.
Description
Investment Thesis: 📝
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Investment Horizon | From 2 to 4 years (target exit 2028–2030) |
| Potential net ROI p.a. (Balanced) | 33.4% p.a. |
| Potential net ROI p.a. (Ambitious) | 51.4% p.a. |
| Entry Basis (Price Verification) | -1.4% (pre-fees) / +9.4% (post-fees) vs. current market value |
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.91 (vs. SMI: 0.61) |
| Value at Risk (VaR) | 91.08% probability to exceed initial investment after 4 years |
| Standard Deviation | 37.6% |
| Track Record (Comparable Sales Points) | 28 sales points |
| Risk Rating | B (8.4/10 – Balanced risk/return) |
- 2–4 Year Horizon: Planned exit between 2028 and 2030 to capitalize on peak demand cycles as scarcity and collector interest continue to grow.
- 33.4% net ROI p.a. (Balanced): Assumes a 40% probability of achieving a 92% CAGR from 02/2025–02/2026 (based on the One Piece CardLadder index).
- 51.4% net ROI p.a. (Ambitious): Assumes a 60% probability of achieving a 92% CAGR from 02/2025–02/2026 (based on the One Piece CardLadder index).
- Entry Basis (Price Verification): Fairly priced at €25,150 (post-fees €27,900), representing a -1.4% discount prior to fees and a +9.4% premium after fees versus current market value.
- Sharpe Ratio of 0.91: Indicates an attractive risk-adjusted profile versus the SMI’s five-year average of 0.61—supporting a balanced trade-off between volatility and expected upside.
- VaR 91.08%: Model implies a 91.08% probability that the asset’s value exceeds the initial investment after 4 years—suggesting strong downside protection versus many collectibles.
- Standard Deviation (37.6%): Risk derived using volatility from comparable datasets (similar sport athletes on CardLadder) due to broader historical coverage.
- Comparable Sales Points (28): The findings are based on 28 key comparables used to benchmark growth and market pricing.
- Risk Rating “B” (8.4/10): Driven by strong track record (28 sales points) and robust risk-adjusted returns (Sharpe 0.91), balanced against collectible-level volatility (37.6%).
Why Invest in This Category? 🏴☠️
Investing in One Piece manga cards is particularly timely as the world’s largest manga franchise continues its global mainstream expansion. With the trading card ecosystem still structurally younger than Pokémon’s, early exposure offers a rare opportunity to capture value before long-term cultural dominance, scarcity, and rising international demand are fully priced into the market.
Investing in One Piece manga cards is particularly timely as the world’s largest manga franchise continues its global mainstream expansion. With the trading card ecosystem still structurally younger than Pokémon’s, early exposure offers a rare opportunity to capture value before long-term cultural dominance, scarcity, and rising international demand are fully priced into the market.
Why Invest in This Asset? 💎
When evaluating collectible investments, Alan focuses on three pillars: cultural scale, long-term relevance, and scarcity. This PSA 10 Monkey D. Luffy manga alternate art card sits precisely at that intersection.
One Piece is not just another successful IP—it is the largest manga franchise ever created, with more than 500 million copies sold worldwide. Yet, despite this dominance, its trading card ecosystem is still structurally younger than Pokémon’s. For investors, this represents a rare moment where a globally entrenched franchise has not yet fully priced in its long-term collectible potential.
Luffy, as the central protagonist, embodies the emotional core of the story. Manga alternate art cards amplify this appeal by directly referencing the original source material, making them especially desirable to core fans while remaining visually powerful to new entrants. Graded PSA 10, this card moves beyond fandom into institutional-grade collectibility.
The thesis is further reinforced by the mainstream expansion triggered by the One Piece. Netflix has introduced the franchise to a broader, global audience, historically the exact catalyst that has driven explosive growth in other card markets. New collectors tend to gravitate toward iconic characters, premium artwork, and top grades—precisely the attributes of this card.
Alan Frei’s selection reflects a conviction that One Piece cards may follow a trajectory similar to Pokémon, but from a significantly earlier starting point. With supply capped and demand broadening across generations, this card represents a culturally anchored, scarcity-driven long-term opportunity.
When evaluating collectible investments, Alan focuses on three pillars: cultural scale, long-term relevance, and scarcity. This PSA 10 Monkey D. Luffy manga alternate art card sits precisely at that intersection.
One Piece is not just another successful IP—it is the largest manga franchise ever created, with more than 500 million copies sold worldwide. Yet, despite this dominance, its trading card ecosystem is still structurally younger than Pokémon’s. For investors, this represents a rare moment where a globally entrenched franchise has not yet fully priced in its long-term collectible potential.
Luffy, as the central protagonist, embodies the emotional core of the story. Manga alternate art cards amplify this appeal by directly referencing the original source material, making them especially desirable to core fans while remaining visually powerful to new entrants. Graded PSA 10, this card moves beyond fandom into institutional-grade collectibility.
The thesis is further reinforced by the mainstream expansion triggered by the One Piece. Netflix has introduced the franchise to a broader, global audience, historically the exact catalyst that has driven explosive growth in other card markets. New collectors tend to gravitate toward iconic characters, premium artwork, and top grades—precisely the attributes of this card.
Alan Frei’s selection reflects a conviction that One Piece cards may follow a trajectory similar to Pokémon, but from a significantly earlier starting point. With supply capped and demand broadening across generations, this card represents a culturally anchored, scarcity-driven long-term opportunity.
Conclusion 🎯
This investment combines cultural dominance, structural market immaturity, and extreme scarcity into a compelling risk-adjusted opportunity. With strong historical comparables, attractive upside scenarios, and measurable downside protection, the asset offers investors early exposure to One Piece’s long-term collectible potential before broader market repricing fully materializes.
This investment combines cultural dominance, structural market immaturity, and extreme scarcity into a compelling risk-adjusted opportunity. With strong historical comparables, attractive upside scenarios, and measurable downside protection, the asset offers investors early exposure to One Piece’s long-term collectible potential before broader market repricing fully materializes.
Expert
Collectomat
Collectomat GmbH mainly sells trading cards in ultra-modern vending machines. In addition to classics such as Pokémon, the vending machines also offer boosters from One Piece, Disney, Sport, YuGiOh! and other formats.
Additional details
Asset ID
bff270ab-8cc8-4d40-b6c8-6af9542c5e48
Trading Card Franchise
One Piece
Set
Monkey D. Luffy Red Manga
Publication year
2025
PSA Grade
PSA 10 Pop 145
