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Keith Haring, Two Subway Drawings

Asset value
47.890,82 €
Earning potential
20.9%
Splints left
0/772
Investment horizon in years
1-3
Return-to-Risk Assessment
10/10
Performance since release
+24.1%

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Main reasons to invest

  • Return Potential: An investment of €500 could reach an estimated value of €883 in 3 years.

  • Cost-to-Return Ratio: With just 3.2% annual total costs, your net profit could be 20.9% per year.

  • Distressed Acquisition: Rare subway drawings from Chandler Wade Collection secured with 38.8% price buffer, targeting value realization over 1-3 years.

Description

Investment Case
Investment Thesis
 
Metric Value
Investment Horizon 1–3 Years (Target exit: 2027–2029)
Expected CAGR (Balanced) 20.9% p.a. after fees
Optimistic CAGR 27.0% p.a. after fees
Entry Basis 38.8% price-buffer to market after fees
Sharpe Ratio 1.12
Value at Risk (VaR) 96.7% probability of exceeding initial investment after 3 years
Standard Deviation 19.6%
Number of Sales Points 25 comparable sales
Risk Rating A, (Strong risk-return profile)

 

  • 20.9% Net ROI p.a. (Balanced): 10% probability of achieving the CAGR from 08/2024 - 08/2026 of 26% based on Keith Haring artprice.com index
  • 27.0% Net ROI p.a. (Ambitious): 30% probability of achieving the CAGR from 08/2024 - 08/2026 of 26% based on Keith Haring artprice.com index

 

Category
Why Invest in This Category?
 

Investing in art combines cultural relevance, scarcity, and long-term value appreciation into a resilient alternative asset class. The global art market reached over USD 65 billion in annual sales, supported by a deep base of collectors, institutions, and museums. Historically, blue-chip and well-curated contemporary art segments have delivered ~8–10% long-term annual returns, with select emerging artists outperforming during career inflection points. Art benefits from low correlation to traditional markets, tangible ownership, and finite supply—particularly for unique works. Strong gallery representation, exhibition history, and documented provenance further enhance liquidity, price transparency, and downside protection for investors.

Asset Specifics
Why Invest in This Asset?
 

Keith Haring's subway drawings represent one of the most culturally significant and historically important bodies of work in contemporary art. Created directly in New York City subway stations during the early 1980s, these works mark the beginning of Haring's career as a public artist and capture a defining moment in urban cultural history. The subway drawings were never intended to be preserved, and the majority were lost or destroyed, making surviving examples exceptionally rare.

Key Highlight
These two subway drawings were acquired through a distressed sale at a 44.2% buffer to market prior to fees, creating immediate value capture potential. Both works are accompanied by proof of sale from the Chandler Wade Collection, one of the best-known private sources of surviving Haring subway drawings.

The market for authentic Haring subway drawings has demonstrated substantial appreciation over time, with prices rising from approximately USD 5,000 to 8,000 in 1996 to a record of USD 1,157,317 at Christie's New York in 2019. This trajectory reflects both the scarcity of surviving works and their growing recognition as important cultural artefacts.

What makes this opportunity particularly compelling is the combination of distressed acquisition pricing, documented provenance, and the inherent rarity of the format. The investment thesis does not rely solely on broader market appreciation but is anchored in the significant entry buffer achieved at purchase.

For investors, this represents exposure to a historically significant artist through one of his most iconic and scarce formats, acquired at a meaningful buffer and supported by strong provenance documentation.

Summary
Conclusion
 
Keith Haring's Two Subway Drawings unite historical significance, proven provenance, and distressed acquisition value. As rare survivors from Haring's formative 1980s public art period, backed by Chandler Wade Collection documentation, they offer compelling appreciation potential. Their scarcity, cultural relevance, and discounted entry point make them an attractive opportunity for collectors and investors seeking iconic contemporary art.

Expert

Maddox Advisory

The art investment advisors of Maddox bring together years of specialist knowledge and practical experience with objective market analysis to offer their clients quality advice and consistent returns.
 

Additional details

Asset ID
c664a2f3-cfcc-4187-b068-ee52e11c7568
Name
Subway Drawings
Year
1985
Size
100 x 70 cm
Artist
Keith Haring
Number of editions
2
Material
White chalk on black paper

Documents

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