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Tom Brady 2000 E-X Essential Credentials Rookie 7of25 BGS 9
Asset value
111.750 €
Issue price per Splint
50 €
Total number of Splints
2.235
Investment horizon in years
3 to 5
Return-to-Risk Assessment
8/10
Since launch July ‘25
+0.0%
Main reasons to invest
Return Potential📈: An investment of 500 EUR could reach an estimated value of 1,633 EUR in 5 years.
Cost-to-Return Ratio⚖️: With just 2.4% annual total costs (July / August releases with no exit fees), your net profit could be 26.7% per year.
Highest condition and gem centering, only BGS 9 graded in last 10 years 🔒: EC is very condition sensitive overall. This card is in mint condition which is the highest grade with a gem mint centering, and the only BGS 9 graded in last 10 years which speaks to the scarcity and condition sensitivity.
Description
Valuation Summary 📝
Strong Return Opportunity Supported by Market Data
This investment targets a 3–5 year horizon, leveraging robust historical sales and recent market trends for ultra-rare, high-grade Tom Brady rookie cards.
Balanced Scenario (CAGR, 2025–2030):
→ €357,581 | CAGR 26.7 % p.a. (net, after fees)
Optimistic Scenario (CAGR, 2025–2030):
→ €515,814 | CAGR 36.3 % p.a. (net, after fees)
The projected net ROI is 26.7 % p.a., using 60 % of the historical growth for this exact card—conservative given its rarity and grade. The Sharpe ratio of 0.91 evidences strong risk-adjusted returns, underpinned by collector demand for Brady’s top “coffin card”.
Strong Return Opportunity Supported by Market Data
This investment targets a 3–5 year horizon, leveraging robust historical sales and recent market trends for ultra-rare, high-grade Tom Brady rookie cards.
Balanced Scenario (CAGR, 2025–2030):
→ €357,581 | CAGR 26.7 % p.a. (net, after fees)
Optimistic Scenario (CAGR, 2025–2030):
→ €515,814 | CAGR 36.3 % p.a. (net, after fees)
The projected net ROI is 26.7 % p.a., using 60 % of the historical growth for this exact card—conservative given its rarity and grade. The Sharpe ratio of 0.91 evidences strong risk-adjusted returns, underpinned by collector demand for Brady’s top “coffin card”.
Risk Profile and Volatility Benchmarking
Risk modelling draws on the Tom Brady index, yielding a 31.2 % standard deviation.
VaR (10 %): 90 % probability the card’s value tops €118,500 in five years.
Maximum drawdown on the index is 68 %, emphasising the need for a medium-term horizon across 102 sales datapoints (2021–2023).
Risk modelling draws on the Tom Brady index, yielding a 31.2 % standard deviation.
VaR (10 %): 90 % probability the card’s value tops €118,500 in five years.
Maximum drawdown on the index is 68 %, emphasising the need for a medium-term horizon across 102 sales datapoints (2021–2023).
Entry with Validated Fair Value
Latest transaction price plus a 1.5 × grade-upgrade multiplier confirms a fair entry roughly 2 % below market. Premium serial 7 / 25 (ring-matched) and a top-tier BGS 9 with Gem-Mint centering reinforce margin of safety.
Latest transaction price plus a 1.5 × grade-upgrade multiplier confirms a fair entry roughly 2 % below market. Premium serial 7 / 25 (ring-matched) and a top-tier BGS 9 with Gem-Mint centering reinforce margin of safety.
Rarity, Exclusivity, and Collector Validation
Only 25 copies exist—this is Brady’s sole rookie “coffin card” among his top two rookies. Essential Credentials is a cornerstone 1990s insert brand; 7/25 ties to Brady’s seven rings. Highest BGS grade awarded in a decade confirms extreme scarcity and condition sensitivity.
Only 25 copies exist—this is Brady’s sole rookie “coffin card” among his top two rookies. Essential Credentials is a cornerstone 1990s insert brand; 7/25 ties to Brady’s seven rings. Highest BGS grade awarded in a decade confirms extreme scarcity and condition sensitivity.
Interesting Facts
• A BGS 9 sold for $180 k in 2022; BGS 8 fetched $70 k.
• Only BGS 9 graded copy in the last 10 years.
• “7 / 25” serial mirrors Brady’s Super Bowl ring tally.
• Unique acetate + foil design; just 25 produced vs 1,500 base cards.
• Part of the experimental Essential Credentials Future rookie subset.
• A BGS 9 sold for $180 k in 2022; BGS 8 fetched $70 k.
• Only BGS 9 graded copy in the last 10 years.
• “7 / 25” serial mirrors Brady’s Super Bowl ring tally.
• Unique acetate + foil design; just 25 produced vs 1,500 base cards.
• Part of the experimental Essential Credentials Future rookie subset.
Why Invest in This Category? 🏈
Sports cards have delivered some of the strongest multi-year growth among alternative assets, backed by licensed brands, global fanbases, and iconic athletes. Scarce, graded rookies remain the market’s blue-chip segment.
Sports cards have delivered some of the strongest multi-year growth among alternative assets, backed by licensed brands, global fanbases, and iconic athletes. Scarce, graded rookies remain the market’s blue-chip segment.
Why Invest in This Asset? 💎
Fleer’s 2000 E-X Essential Credentials Future die-cut “coffin card” is Brady’s rarest design—just 25 copies, this one numbered 7/25. A lone BGS 9 across a decade, it pairs ultra-low pop with avant-garde acetate and neon foil. Entry at €102 k sits ≈ 2 % below fair value. Brady’s expanding media presence, ownership roles, and hobby advocacy fortify long-term demand, while an 8.1 × index rise since 2017 underlines historical momentum.
Fleer’s 2000 E-X Essential Credentials Future die-cut “coffin card” is Brady’s rarest design—just 25 copies, this one numbered 7/25. A lone BGS 9 across a decade, it pairs ultra-low pop with avant-garde acetate and neon foil. Entry at €102 k sits ≈ 2 % below fair value. Brady’s expanding media presence, ownership roles, and hobby advocacy fortify long-term demand, while an 8.1 × index rise since 2017 underlines historical momentum.
Conclusion 🎯
Ring-matched serial, pop-one grade, and proven liquidity crown the Tom Brady Essential Credentials 7/25 as a flagship modern grail. With discounted entry, 26.7 % CAGR potential, and high downside resilience, it stands as a data-backed, narrative-rich staple for elite sports-card portfolios.
Ring-matched serial, pop-one grade, and proven liquidity crown the Tom Brady Essential Credentials 7/25 as a flagship modern grail. With discounted entry, 26.7 % CAGR potential, and high downside resilience, it stands as a data-backed, narrative-rich staple for elite sports-card portfolios.
Expert
K3Y Asset
K3Y Asset is a hobby platform to tell stories in the hobby of card collecting in proper contexts and often in parallel to sports history and moments, while unlocking desirable attributes from key sports cards to elevate them into long term desirable assets.
Additional details
Asset ID
ca359f4e-d1d4-4519-b6ad-21a2bc3b64e5
Publisher
Fleer
Card name
Tom Brady 2000 E-X Essential Credentials Rookie
Publication year
2000
Player and team
Tom Brady, New England Patriots
Edition number (i.e. 5 of 50)
7 of 25, his total ring count presciently captured at rookie season
Material
Cardboard based in actate
Condition
Graded 9 by BGS (Beckett Grading Services) with 9.5 Gem Mint Centering
