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Sealed Pokémon Neo Genesis 1. Edition Booster Box

Asset value

61.250 €

Issue price per Splint

50 €

Total number of Splints

1.225

Investment horizon in years

4 to 6

Return-to-Risk Assessment

7/10

Since launch September ‘25

+0.0%

Main reasons to invest

Return Potential📈: An investment of €500 could reach an estimated value of €1,956 in 6 years.
Cost-to-Return Ratio⚖️: With just 2.0% annual total costs (September releases with no exit fees), your net profit could be 25.5% per year.
A Milestone Worth Holding 🎂: As Pokémon approaches its jubilee, collectors are reminded of the world’s biggest franchise and its enduring cultural impact. Neo Genesis, with fewer print runs than later eras, offers true rarity. A sealed 1st Edition box becomes not only an investment but also a meaningful way to honor this legacy.

Description

Investment Thesis 📝

Metric	Value
Investment Horizon	4 to 6 Years
Expected CAGR (Balanced)	25.5% p.a. after fees
Optimistic CAGR	36.1% p.a. after fees
Entry Position	1% below last verified sale (pre-fees)
Sharpe Ratio	1.04 (vs. SMI: 0.61)
Value at Risk (VaR)	95% chance to exceed €70,646 (6 yrs)
Standard Deviation	38.9%
Risk Rating	B (7.6/10 – Moderate Risk)

6-Year Horizon: Aligned with peak scarcity cycle for vintage Neo-era Pokémon sealed product, maximizing collector demand potential.
25.5% CAGR (Balanced): Based on 65% of observed 42.9% CAGR since April 2022, offering strong yet conservative growth expectations.
36.1% CAGR (Optimistic): Based on 90% of observed 42.9% CAGR since April 2022, offering strong yet conservative growth expectations.
Fair Entry: Acquisition price validated at ~1% below last sale; sealed box premium further enhances long-term value positioning.
Sharpe Ratio 1.04: Demonstrates above-average risk-adjusted returns, far exceeding the SMI index benchmark (0.61).
VaR €70,646: Model shows 95% probability of exceeding this value after 6 years, underscoring downside protection.
38.9% Volatility: Reflects vintage TCG dynamics but mitigated by sealed rarity and long-term holding horizon.
B-Rated Risk: Strong cultural status, scarcity, and market validation make this a balanced high-upside, moderate-risk investment opportunity.

Valuation Summary 📝

To ensure the competitiveness of the investment, we conducted a thorough verification of the purchase price by analyzing recent transactions and current market values on the secondary card market. Our analysis confirmed that the price offered, inclusive of all associated fees, is competitive. To estimate the potential ROI, we based our analysis on the historical price development of all ex era Pokémon booster boxes. For the conservative scenario, we assumed the value of the displays would grow at the rate of Swiss inflation, taking a defensive approach. In the balanced scenario, we applied 70% of the average price increase for this display over the past three years. Finally, in the ambitious scenario, we applied 90% of the average price increase for this display over the past three years.

Exit Options at Maturity 🚪

We will manage the exit strategy on behalf of our investors, ensuring the best possible outcome based on market conditions at the time. Depending on the value of the card and the prevailing market situation, we can either sell the card privately to a collector or take it to auction. Both options are carefully considered, and we will choose the one that maximizes the return for our investors.

Why Invest in This Category? 🎨

Investing in Pokémon cards is particularly timely with the franchise's upcoming jubilee, expected to drive heightened interest and value appreciation in rare and nostalgic collectibles.

Why Invest in This Asset? 💎

The Pokémon Neo Genesis 1st Edition display is one of the most coveted sealed products in the trading card world. Released in 2000, it marked the beginning of the Neo era, introducing iconic second-generation Pokémon such as Lugia, Typhlosion, and Feraligatr. Its historical significance is matched only by its scarcity. Most of these boxes were opened in the early 2000s, and very few remain today in sealed, investment-grade condition.

What makes this particular asset uniquely appealing is its sealed status. As collectors become more sophisticated, sealed displays offer a layer of protection, authenticity, and potential for appreciation unmatched by single cards. The box contains 36 unopened booster packs, which themselves are increasingly difficult to find, creating compounded scarcity that only intensifies over time.

Moreover, Neo Genesis has cultural and market relevance. Lugia’s popularity, the “holo swirl” era, and the set’s print-run issues—especially for 1st Edition—have made it a legendary release. The market for vintage Pokémon has exploded post-pandemic, and Neo Genesis stands tall among the top-tier sealed products now trading hands in the five-figure range.

As the Pokémon collector base expands globally and sealed boxes become even rarer, demand continues to outstrip supply. This creates a fertile ground for long-term appreciation. A sealed Neo Genesis 1st Edition display is no longer just a collector’s dream—it’s a serious alternative asset, protected by time, nostalgia, and scarcity.

Conclusion 🎯

With its unmatched scarcity, sealed integrity, and deep-rooted nostalgic value, the Pokémon Neo Genesis 1st Edition display stands as a compelling, culturally iconic investment. Coupled with strong historical performance and limited supply, it offers a rare opportunity to own a high-potential asset in a maturing and increasingly global collector market.