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10 Sealed Pokémon XY Evolutions Booster Boxes

Asset value
18.950 €
Issue price per Splint
50 €
Total number of Splints
379
Investment horizon in years
4 to 6
Return-to-Risk Assessment
6/10
Since launch September ‘25
+0.0%

Main reasons to invest

  • Return Potential📈: An investment of €500 could reach an estimated value of €2,197 in 6 years.

  • Cost-to-Return Ratio⚖️: With just 2.3% annual total costs (September releases with no exit fees), your net profit could be 28.0% per year.

  • Nostalgia Locked in a Box 📦: This display captures a moment in time: the original Pokémon experience, reimagined for a new generation. Whether you grew up chasing Charizards or recently discovered the magic, this sealed box connects generations through shared childhood memories and timeless artwork—making it more than cardboard; it’s culture in its purest form.

Description

Investment Thesis 📝
 
Metric Value
Investment Horizon 4–6 Years
Expected CAGR (Balanced) 28.0% p.a. after fees
Optimistic CAGR 39.6% p.a. after fees
Entry Position ~15% below fair market value (after fees)
Sharpe Ratio 0.72 (vs. SMI: 0.61)
Value at Risk (VaR) 75% chance to exceed €27,200 in the next 6 years
Standard Deviation 38.9%
Risk Rating C (6.8/10 – Elevated risk)
 
  • 4–6 Year Horizon: Positioned to benefit from increasing scarcity and nostalgia-driven collector demand over time.
  • 28.0% CAGR (Balanced): Derived by applying 65% of the historical CAGR observed for Evolutions sealed boxes.
  • 39.6% CAGR (Optimistic): Reflects potential return under strong demand conditions around future Pokémon anniversaries and collector cycles.
  • ~15% Discount to Fair Value: Acquired below retail market pricing for bulk purchases based on August benchmarks.
  • Sharpe Ratio of 0.72: Solid risk-adjusted return, outperforming the Swiss Market Index (SMI) 5-year Sharpe ratio of 0.61.
  • 75% VaR Threshold: Risk model indicates a three-in-four chance of exceeding €27,200 after 6 years, offering meaningful downside protection.
  • Standard Deviation (38.9%): Volatility in line with comparable collectibles, reflecting moderate price fluctuation with long-term potential.
  • Risk Rating “C”: Higher-risk profile appropriate for portfolios seeking high-growth exposure within the alternative collectibles space.
Exit Options at Maturity 🚪
We will manage the exit strategy on behalf of our investors, ensuring the best possible outcome based on market conditions at the time. Depending on the value of the card and the prevailing market situation, we can either sell the card privately to a collector or take it to auction. Both options are carefully considered, and we will choose the one that maximizes the return for our investors.
Why Invest in This Category? 🧢
Investing in Pokémon cards is particularly timely with the franchise’s upcoming jubilee, expected to drive heightened interest and value appreciation in rare and nostalgic collectibles.
Why Invest in This Asset? 💎

The XY Evolutions Booster Box has gained legendary status among collectors due to its unique combination of nostalgic value and scarcity. Released in 2016 to mark Pokémon’s 20th anniversary, the set revitalized interest by featuring reprints of Base Set cards from 1999, including the iconic Charizard in a refreshed holographic style. This strategic blend of old and new significantly boosted demand, particularly among millennial collectors who grew up with the original series.

 

What makes this box especially compelling is the combination of no reprints, high collector appeal, and visible long-term price appreciation. With every box opened, the sealed population decreases—an effect that is compounding annually as break videos and content-driven unboxings consume supply. Simultaneously, market demand remains strong, with sales spikes observed around anniversaries and major Pokémon-related announcements.

 

The entry price—secured at €18,950 after fees—represents a meaningful discount to current market levels, where comparable 10-box bundles are priced around €22,300. This differential enhances upside potential while offering downside protection. Market validation stems from data sources such as PriceCharting and eBay, which consistently reflect elevated and stable pricing in secondary markets.

 

The investment thesis is further reinforced by 31 tracked price data points and a risk-adjusted return profile indicating a Sharpe ratio of 0.72. This positions the asset well for portfolios seeking moderate-risk alternative investments with high cultural relevance, strong brand affinity, and limited supply dynamics. With a 4–6 year horizon and exit strategies aligned with collector peak interest periods (e.g., 30-year anniversaries), this sealed display stands out as a strategically timed opportunity.

Conclusion 🎯
The XY Evolutions Booster Box combines scarcity, brand power, and a fair entry price to form a strong long-term case. With high emotional engagement and visible demand trends, it’s a prime candidate for collectors and investors seeking cultural relevance and historical value. Supply will only get tighter from here.

Expert

Collectomat

Collectomat GmbH mainly sells trading cards in ultra-modern vending machines. In addition to classics such as Pokémon, the vending machines also offer boosters from One Piece, Disney, Sport, YuGiOh! and other formats.

Additional details

Asset ID
dcf01c7c-fd2b-4284-a643-074572c7cae9
Trading Card Franchise
Pokémon
Era
XY Evolutions
Number of Packs per Box
36 Booster-Packs per Box
Publication year
2016
PSA Grade
Factory sealed and mint

Documents

Aurelio Image CEO

Aurelio

CEO & Co-Founder