Tom Brady 2022 TriFroce Triple Prime Patch 1of1 BGS 9.5
Main reasons to invest
Return Potential📈: An investment of €500 could reach an estimated value of €1,958 in 5 years.
Cost-to-Return Ratio⚖️: With just 2.1% annual total costs (September releases with no exit fees), your net profit could be 31.4% per year.
TriForce Innovation with Proven Demand 🃏: The TriForce brand is Panini’s first to introduce the triple logoman, making it historically significant and highly collectible. Featuring three prime game-used jumbo patches, it combines innovation with rarity. A Panini triple logoman sold for $2.4M within a year of release, proving immediate market desirability and strong long-term potential.
Description
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Investment Horizon | 3–5 Years |
| Expected CAGR (Balanced) | 31.4% p.a. after fees |
| Ambitious CAGR | 48.7% p.a. after fees |
| Entry Discount | 4.3% below fair market value |
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.88 (vs. SMI: 0.61) |
| Value at Risk (VaR) | 90% chance to exceed €107,400 |
| Standard Deviation | 35.8% |
| Risk Rating | B (7.7/10 – Moderate Risk) |
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3–5 Year Horizon: Timed to capture peak post-retirement legacy appreciation and collector consolidation around iconic 1-of-1s.
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31.4% CAGR (Balanced): Based on full replication of Brady’s general index performance, which includes many lower-tier cards — a conservative growth benchmark.
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48.7% CAGR (Optimistic): Reflects the upper bound from trophy-tier Brady card sales and the asset’s unique timing and design.
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~4.3% Discount to FMV: Entry price offers a compelling valuation edge based on fair market average of €94,069 vs. €90,000 pre-fees.
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Sharpe Ratio of 0.88: Indicates strong risk-adjusted performance, significantly above the SMI’s 0.61.
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90% VaR Threshold: Model forecasts high downside protection — 90% chance the card exceeds €107,400 in 5 years.
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Standard Deviation (35.8%): Reflects moderate volatility, expected for premium 1/1 collectibles, but cushioned by Brady’s status and supply scarcity.
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Risk Rating “B” (7.6/10): Balanced profile backed by strong comps, reliable index data, and unrivaled cultural and emotional significance.
We will manage the exit strategy in collaboration with our expert K3Y Asset on behalf of our investors, ensuring the best possible outcome based on market conditions at the time. Depending on the prevailing market situation, the card will be sold to a private collector or offered at an auction. An auction is considered if the price has developed to the point where the minimum bid matches the market value and there is high demand for works by the artist. Both options are carefully considered, and we will choose the one that maximizes the return for our investors.
Sports cards are an asset class that has enjoyed one of the highest multipliers in growth over the last 5 to 15 years among alternative investment vehicles. Sports cards have strong fundamentals in bringing high-valued licenses, age-tested brands, universal passion for sports, and transcendent talents together in innovative concepts.
This Tom Brady TriForce card is unlike anything else in the hobby. It’s the only card released directly in response to Brady’s official retirement, dated February 2, 2023. TriForce itself is Panini’s most innovative triple-patch format, designed with both rarity and visual storytelling in mind. Featuring three giant game-used patches in a triangle formation, it’s already part of a format that has broken records — a Panini triple logoman sold for $2.4M shortly after launch.
The card also stands apart through its aesthetic brilliance: sharp foil work, a symmetrical triangular pattern reminiscent of a spinning football, and a full-body action shot with strong visual balance. It received a BGS 9.5 Gem Mint grade despite its thickness and complexity — eight corners, intricate layers — which dramatically boosts its appeal and credibility.
Importantly, there is only one other TriForce Brady card, and it's likely never to be released due to his exclusive deal with Fanatics. This cements this card’s status as the definitive TriForce Brady issue. With over 128 sales data points analyzed across CardLadder and recent comps in the $80k–$100k+ range, this card represents a rare mix of verified pricing, emotional resonance, and trophy-tier exclusivity. Given Brady’s transition into broadcasting, team ownership, and constant presence in the hobby, demand for his most iconic memorabilia remains firmly supported.
As a rare combination of visual impact, historical relevance, and quantifiable growth, this card sits in the top tier of modern sports collectibles. Its uniqueness, strong metrics, and Brady’s unmatched legacy make it one of the most attractive 1-of-1s on the market.
Expert
K3Y Asset is a hobby platform to tell stories in the hobby of card collecting in proper contexts and often in parallel to sports history and moments, while unlocking desirable attributes from key sports cards to elevate them into long term desirable assets.
