Silver bar, 15 kg, 999.0

Investment Thesis 📝
 

Metric	Value
Investment Horizon	3–5 Years
Expected CAGR (Balanced)	10.2% p.a. after fees
Optimistic CAGR	12.1% p.a. after fees
Entry Discount	~1.1% below spot price
Sharpe Ratio	0.47
Value at Risk (VaR)	75% chance to exceed €20,300 after 5 years
Standard Deviation	21.5%
Risk Rating	B (7.2/10 – Moderate Risk)

• 3–5 Year Horizon: Targeted to capture silver’s upside while maintaining its protective role during economic downturns.
• 10.2% CAGR (Balanced): Based on silver’s historical performance between 2015–2025, supported by industrial demand in solar, EV, and electronics.
• 12.1% CAGR (Optimistic): Reflects potential acceleration from increased investor interest in undervalued silver vs. gold.
• ~1.1% Discount to Spot: Attractive entry point compared to live August 2025 pricing.
• Sharpe Ratio of 0.47: Favourable return relative to volatility for this asset class, outperforming many traditional defensive assets.
• 75% VaR Threshold: Model indicates three-in-four chance of exceeding €20,300 after 5 years.
• Standard Deviation (21.5%): Moderate volatility within precious metals, providing diversification benefits.
• Risk Rating “B”: Balanced profile suitable for portfolios seeking crisis-hedging assets with measurable return potential.

Exit Options at Maturity 🚪

---

We will manage the exit strategy in collaboration with our expert on behalf of our investors, ensuring the best possible outcome based on market conditions at the time. Depending on the prevailing market situation, the painting will be sold to a private collector or offered as a single lot at an auction for contemporary art. An auction is considered if the price has developed to the point where the minimum bid matches the market value and there is high demand for works by the artist. Both options are carefully considered, and we will choose the one that maximizes the return for our investors.

Why Invest in This Category? 🎨

---

Silver’s exceptional conductivity and durability fuel its use in electronics, solar panels, medical equipment, and water purification. Demand is rising sharply across industries such as electric vehicles, renewable energy, construction, and jewelry. At the same time, mining output is under pressure, creating persistent supply shortages that strengthen the long-term value outlook for this essential metal.

Why Invest in This Asset? 💎

---

Silver is both an industrial workhorse and a historic store of value, giving it a unique dual demand driver. Over the past decade, its price has been shaped by macroeconomic forces, central bank policies, and industrial consumption—particularly in sectors such as solar panels, electric vehicles, and high-tech electronics. As global green transition policies accelerate, industrial silver demand is forecast to remain robust, adding a structural tailwind to prices.

From a portfolio perspective, silver is renowned for its role as a crisis hedge. Historically, it has shown negative correlation with equities and fiat currencies during market stress, helping to preserve wealth when other asset classes falter. Unlike gold, silver remains relatively undervalued by historical ratios, offering greater upside potential should the gold–silver ratio revert toward its long-term mean.

The 15 kg LBMA-certified silver bar benefits from the liquidity and trust afforded by London Bullion Market Association standards, ensuring global recognizability and easy resale through institutional channels. Large-format bars also typically carry lower premiums per gram, allowing more of the investment to go directly into intrinsic metal value.

Conclusion 🎯

---

This 3–5 year silver investment targets both industrial growth and crisis-hedging potential. With moderate volatility, a slight discount to spot, and LBMA-certified liquidity, it offers balanced upside from rising demand in green technologies. Undervalued versus gold, silver’s dual role supports diversification and long-term portfolio resilience amid economic uncertainty.