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Jayson Tatum 2017 Flawless Star Swatch Rookie, 1of5 PSA 8.5 + 10 Auto

Asset value
81.426,00 €
Earning potential
31.2%
Splints left
0/1.605
Investment horizon in years
3-5
Return-to-Risk Assessment
8/10
Performance since release
+1.5%

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Main reasons to invest

  • Return potential: An investment of €500 could reach an estimated value of €1,944 in 5 years.

  • Cost-to-return ratio: After deducting 2.9% in annual total costs, your net return could reach 31.2% per year.

  • Compelling Entry with Premium Quality: This rare Jayson Tatum 2017 rookie card, featuring the best patch among all copies, is offered at a 14.9% entry discount, presenting a high-end collectible with strong upside potential.

Description

Investment Case
Investment Thesis
Metric Value
Investment Horizon 3–5 Years (Target exit: 2029–2031)
Expected ROI p.a. (Balanced) 31.2% net
Expected ROI p.a. (Ambitious) 42.7% net
Entry Basis -14.9% (pre-fees) | -2.4% (post-fees)
Sharpe Ratio 0.93
Value at Risk (VaR) 94.04% probability of exceeding initial investment
Standard Deviation 34.8%
Risk Rating B (7.6/10 – Balanced risk-return profile)
  • 3–5 Year Horizon: Planned exit between 2029 and 2031 to capture peak demand cycles and maximize value appreciation.
  • 31.2% Net ROI p.a. (Balanced): Based on a 40% probability of achieving historical comparable growth rates (~76% CAGR).
  • 42.7% Net ROI p.a. (Ambitious): Reflects a 55% probability scenario aligned with strong recent market performance.
  • 14.9% Discount Entry: Attractive pricing below market value provides immediate upside potential.
  • Sharpe Ratio of 0.93: Strong risk-adjusted return profile, outperforming traditional benchmarks.
  • VaR 94.04%: High probability of capital preservation over the investment horizon.
  • Standard Deviation (34.8%): Reflects moderate volatility typical for high-growth alternative assets.
  • 3 Comparable Sales: Valuation supported by relevant and recent market transactions.
Category
Why Invest in This Category?
 
High-end sports trading cards have evolved into a globally recognized alternative asset class supported by professional grading standards, transparent auction records, and increasing institutional participation. With a historical category CAGR of 19.5%, fixed supply dynamics, and global collector demand, trophy-level 1-of-1 cards offer diversification benefits and long-term appreciation potential largely independent of traditional equity markets.
Asset Specifics
Why Invest in This Asset?
 

This Jayson Tatum Flawless Star Swatch is widely regarded as his best non-1/1 rookie card: a /5 alpha serial from one of the hobby’s premier brands, featuring rookie-year game-used material, available only in Flawless, the strongest patch among all five copies, a color match, and a strong 8.5 grade with a 10 auto.

Key Highlight
Best non-1/1 Tatum rookie, priced attractively.
A /5 alpha-serial Flawless Star Swatch with rookie game-used material, the best patch of the run, color match, strong grade, and a 14.9% entry discount.

Tatum is already an NBA champion, 4x All-NBA First Team selection, and 6x All-Star, giving this card strong long-term relevance. The investment case is further supported by highly favorable comparables: a weaker /10 patch version has already traded around €50k+, while Shai’s equivalent /5 reached roughly €115k, making this valuation look highly competitive.

Summary
Conclusion
 
This rare Jayson Tatum rookie card combines elite scarcity, best-in-class card configuration, rookie game-used material, strong player credentials, and a 14.9% discounted entry, creating a compelling setup for long-term upside in the high-end basketball card market.

Expert

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K3Y Asset is a hobby platform to tell stories in the hobby of card collecting in proper contexts and often in parallel to sports history and moments, while unlocking desirable attributes from key sports cards to elevate them into long term desirable assets.

Additional details

Asset ID
e9ec5f7d-42ca-4f58-895d-e4be488799c8
Publisher
Panini America
Card name
Jayson Tatum 2017 Flawless Star Swatch Rookie Patch Auto 1of5 PSA 8.5 + 10 Auto
Publication year
2017
Player and team
Jayson Tatum, Boston Celtics
Edition number (i.e. 5 of 50)
1 of 5
Material
Cardboard, Foil, Game Used Jersey Patch and Ink
Condition
Graded 8.5 by PSA (Professional Grading Authenticator) with 10 Auto

Documents

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