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Tom Brady 2022 Panini Blockchain BC1 1of17 BGS Black Label

Asset value
67.500,00 €
Earning potential
29.9%
Splints left
0/1.350
Investment horizon in years
3-5
Return-to-Risk Assessment
9/10
Performance since release
+0.0%

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Main reasons to invest

  • Return potential: An investment of €500 could reach an estimated value of €1,852 in 5 years.

  • Cost-to-return ratio : After deducting 2.5% in annual total costs, your net return could reach 29.9% per year.

  • Innovation Meets Legacy 🧬🏈: This card unites hobby-first blockchain innovation with Tom Brady’s final playing year, making it both historically and emotionally significant. As the first serial of the first physical blockchain reward card ever issued—limited to just 17 copies—it embodies ultimate rarity, flawless design, and unmatched collector appeal in pristine Black Label condition.

Description

Investment Thesis: 
 
Metric Value
Investment Horizon 3–5 years
Expected CAGR (Balanced) 29.9% p.a. after fees
Optimistic CAGR 38.0% p.a. after fees
Entry Basis –11.2% vs. benchmarked fair value
Sharpe Ratio 0.87
Value at Risk (VaR) 100% chance to exceed initial investment value after 5 years
Standard Deviation 34.8%
Risk Rating B (7.2/10 – Balanced Risk)
 
  • 3–5 year horizon: Aligned with market momentum in rare Brady cards and end-of-era Panini supply constraints.
  • 29.9% CAGR (balanced): Based on 80% probability of achieving the historical 41.2% CAGR for Tom Brady high-end sports cards (02/2022–01/2026).
  • 38.0% CAGR (optimistic): Based on 100% realization of the same historical CAGR benchmark across rare Brady assets.
  • –11.2% discount to fair value: Acquisition price of €67,500 (incl. fees) verified as below-market for this condition, rarity, and configuration.
  • Sharpe Ratio of 0.87: Balanced risk-adjusted return profile for high-grade rare sports memorabilia.
  • VaR 100%: Model confirms full downside protection over five years due to uniqueness and collector validation.
  • Standard Deviation (34.8%): Reflects moderate volatility typical for low-liquidity, ultra-rare trading cards.
  • Risk Rating “B”: Strong investment grade backed by innovation, grading rarity, and 101 reference comps.
Why Invest in This Category? 
Sports cards are an asset class that has enjoyed some of the highest multipliers in growth over the last 5 to 15 years among alternative investment vehicles. They combine powerful fundamentals: globally recognised licenses, age-tested brands, widespread passion for sports, and transcendent talents whose cultural impact drives sustained market demand. As the category continues to professionalise, premium assets tied to generational athletes show strong resilience and long-term appreciation.
Why Invest in This Asset? 

This card is a unicorn in modern sports memorabilia: a 1-of-17 physical blockchain reward card issued by Panini during Tom Brady’s final active NFL season. It is not only the first card in the set (BC1), but also the first serial (#1/17)—an exceptionally symbolic position in any high-profile release.

What truly elevates this piece is its Black Label grade from BGS: a pristine 10 across all subgrades (centering, corners, edges, surface)—a near-impossible feat in the grading world. No other perfect 10 is known to exist for this issue. The card’s visual appeal is equally compelling, combining Kaboom-style explosiveness with ribbon and spiral motifs, producing a unique and vibrant foil finish that resonates with collectors and design enthusiasts alike. Being a physical reward for completing a digital blockchain set, the card marks a historic innovation in the hobby—offering tangible ownership for digital accomplishment, done only once per player.

Tom Brady, the most decorated quarterback in NFL history, was chosen as the first player in this groundbreaking concept, further cementing the card’s symbolic value. Its release during Brady’s final season adds emotional weight, capturing the closing moment of a two-decade-long career that redefined excellence. In terms of rarity, condition, innovation, and legacy, this card occupies the highest tier of modern collectibles. For collectors seeking a grail-level Brady piece with both historical and design significance, this represents an irreplaceable, end-of-era trophy that will remain highly coveted in elite card circles for years to come.

Conclusion 
This Tom Brady Black Label Blockchain card unites innovation, absolute condition rarity, and end-of-era legacy in a single, irreplaceable collectible. As the first serial of a hobby-first concept tied to the greatest career in NFL history, it stands as a true modern grail with enduring collector significance and cultural relevance.

Expert

K3Y Asset

K3Y Asset is a hobby platform to tell stories in the hobby of card collecting in proper contexts and often in parallel to sports history and moments, while unlocking desirable attributes from key sports cards to elevate them into long term desirable assets.

Additional details

Asset ID
eb179eee-7efd-4bef-8542-fc0675b7420b
Publisher
Panini America
Card name
Tom Brady 2022 Panini Blockchain BC1 1of17
Publication year
2022
Player and team
Tom Brady, Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Edition number (i.e. 5 of 50)
1 of 17, the very first one made
Material
Cardboard, and Foil surface
Condition
Graded Pristine 10 with all subgrades 10 by BGS (Beckett Grading Services), also known as Black Label

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