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One Piece Romance Dawn, Wave 2 (10 boxes)

Asset value

16.050,00 €

Earning potential

29.3%

Splints left

321/321

Investment horizon in years

4-6

Return-to-Risk Assessment

8/10

Performance since release

+0.0%

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Main reasons to invest

Return Potential: An investment of €500 could reach an estimated value of €2,335 in 6 years.
Cost-to-Return Ratio: With just 3% annual total costs, your net profit could be 29.3% per year.
Strong Momentum:This collection leverages strong market momentum, with 54.8% returns over the past two years, supported by robust collector demand, positioning it as a high-quality entry into one of the fastest-rising segments of the One Piece TCG market

Description

Investment Case

Investment Thesis

Metric	Value
Investment Horizon	4–6 Years (Target exit: 2030–2032)
Expected CAGR (Balanced)	29.3% p.a. after fees
Optimistic CAGR	40.0% p.a. after fees
Entry Basis	-9.7% discount to market prior to fees
Sharpe Ratio	0.8
Value at Risk (VaR)	91.3% probability of exceeding initial investment after 6 years
Standard Deviation	38.0%
Number of Sales Points	44 main comparables
Risk Rating	B+, Moderate to High (high volatility, strong growth potential)

4–6 Year Horizon: Planned exit between 2030 and 2032 to capture continued scarcity and growing collector interest in sealed Pokémon box collections.
29.3% Net ROI p.a. (Balanced): Based on a probability-weighted scenario using recent trading card market studies and observed performance of sealed Pokémon products.
40.0% Net ROI p.a. (Ambitious): Reflects a stronger upside scenario supported by rarity, collector appeal, and thin supply for complete sealed box collections.
~9.7% Discount to Market: Entry pricing was verified below current market value prior to fees, supporting an attractive acquisition basis.
Market Benchmark: Individual components have achieved historical returns of up to 103.4% in recent periods, providing strong market reference points for valuation.
Sharpe Ratio of 0.8: Indicates an attractive risk-adjusted return profile relative to expected appreciation.
VaR 91.3%: Modelled probability that the asset value exceeds the initial investment after six years.
Standard Deviation (38.0%): Reflects higher volatility typical of trading cards with strong growth potential and limited transaction frequency.
44 Main Comparables: The investment case is anchored by a robust dataset of comparable sales, providing strong market validation and pricing confidence.

Category

Why Invest in This Category?

Investing in One Piece manga cards is particularly timely as the world’s largest manga franchise continues its global mainstream expansion. With the trading card ecosystem still structurally younger than Pokémon’s, early exposure offers a rare opportunity to capture value before long-term cultural dominance, scarcity, and rising international demand are fully priced into the market.

Asset Specifics

Why Invest in This Asset?

The One Piece Romance Dawn, Wave 2 trading card set represents a rare opportunity to invest in one of the most culturally significant franchises in modern entertainment. One Piece is not only the best-selling manga series of all time, but also a global phenomenon with a fanbase spanning generations and continents. Romance Dawn, as the inaugural trading card game release, holds foundational importance within the One Piece collectibles ecosystem, making Wave 2 a historically relevant and increasingly scarce asset.

Key Highlight

This asset has demonstrated strong historical performance, with a CAGR of 54.8% from December 2023 to April 2026, supporting the momentum-driven investment thesis for One Piece assets and offering a compelling entry into a high-growth collectible category

What sets this asset apart is the combination of franchise strength, early-release scarcity, and accelerating demand from a new generation of collectors in Asia and globally. As sealed product is opened for individual cards or graded, the supply of intact Wave 2 boxes continues to shrink, creating structural scarcity that supports long-term value appreciation.

The trading card market has matured significantly, with institutional storage, verified provenance, and liquid secondary markets now standard. This asset benefits from professional custody in Bern and trusted expert validation from CollectorsDeal, ensuring authenticity and reducing operational risk.

For investors, this opportunity combines brand strength, proven performance, scarcity dynamics, and disciplined pricing. With a realistic annual yield projection of 29.3% and a Sharpe ratio of 0.8, it offers an attractive risk-adjusted return profile within the alternative asset space.

Summary

Conclusion

One Piece Romance Dawn, Wave 2 combines iconic character appeal, structural scarcity, and verified provenance within the rapidly growing trading card market. As a limited release with strong cultural relevance and institutional-grade storage in Bern, it offers compelling long-term potential. Its rarity, brand strength, and narrative make it an attractive collectible for discerning investors.