Pokémon XY Base Set & Primal Clash (2 Cases, 6 Boosterboxes each)

Investment Thesis 📝
 

Metric	Value
Investment Horizon	4 to 6 Years
Expected CAGR (Balanced)	28.8% p.a.
Optimistic CAGR	39.0% p.a.
Entry Premium	~8% below median fair value
Sharpe Ratio	0.73 (vs. SMI: 0.61)
Value at Risk (VaR)	87.3% chance to exceed €42,700
Standard Deviation	38.9%
Risk Rating	C (6.8/10 – Elevated Risk)

• 4–6 Year Horizon: Targeted to align with renewed collector demand and scarcity-driven appreciation in sealed XY-era Pokémon products.
• 28.8% CAGR (Balanced): Based on conservative replication (60%) of the 51.9% CAGR achieved by XY Base Set & Primal Clash booster boxes between 2021 and 2025.
• 39.0% CAGR (Optimistic): Based on conservative replication (80%) of the 51.9% CAGR achieved by XY Base Set & Primal Clash booster boxes between 2021 and 2025.
• ~8% Entry Discount: Attractive acquisition level relative to current pricecharting.com median and active eBay listings, confirming fair yet favorable entry.
• Sharpe Ratio of 0.73: Indicates efficient risk-adjusted performance, exceeding the SMI’s five-year benchmark of 0.61 and reinforcing balanced return-to-volatility dynamics.
• 87.3% VaR Threshold: Model forecasts nearly nine-in-ten probability that the investment exceeds €42,700 after six years, supporting strong downside protection.
• Standard Deviation (38.9%): Moderate volatility consistent with sealed Pokémon products of similar rarity and collector depth, maintaining balanced exposure.
• Risk Rating “C”: Classified as a moderately risky collectible, supported by 30 verified market sales and a resilient long-term performance profile across XY-era assets.

Exit Options at Maturity 🚪

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We will manage the exit strategy on behalf of our investors, ensuring the best possible outcome based on market conditions at the time. Depending on the value of the card and the prevailing market situation, we can either sell the card privately to a collector or take it to auction. Both options are carefully considered, and we will choose the one that maximizes the return for our investors.

Why Invest in This Category? 🧢

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Investing in Pokémon cards is particularly timely with the franchise’s upcoming jubilee, expected to drive heightened interest and value appreciation in rare and nostalgic collectibles.

Why Invest in This Asset? 💎

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The sealed Pokémon cases from the XY Base Set and Primal Clash are more than just collectibles — they are capsules full of memories and imagination. For many fans, the XY Base Set marked a fresh start in the Pokémon universe. As the first of its era, it still brings a sparkle to collectors’ eyes when they see the shine of the booster packs. Anyone who remembers pulling a Mega Evolution card for the first time knows exactly what this set means.

Primal Clash, on the other hand, tells the story of an epic battle between elemental forces — Kyogre and Groudon in their primal forms — brought to life through powerful, vividly colored cards that remain a topic of discussion in collecting circles. Many remember building their decks around these cards as kids, or how the Primal reprints ushered in a new era.

Among fans, the unique thrill of owning a factory-sealed case is often mentioned — a piece of the past, untouched and full of mystery. The thought that a rare pull might still be hidden inside evokes the same excitement as opening packs on the schoolyard back in the day.

That these two cases still exist today in their original sealed condition is a rare stroke of luck. For collectors, nostalgics, and fans of the XY era, they are an emotional anchor — and for many, the essence of what makes Pokémon cards so special.

Conclusion 🎯

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These two sealed XY cases combine nostalgic collector value with attractive return potential. With steady market growth, a solid risk structure, and proven demand, they offer a balanced investment opportunity. Their emotional significance and rarity make them more than just an asset — they are time capsules for fans and a valuable addition to any portfolio.